Paredes vs Leça: match statistics
Paredes vs Leça: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paredes played Leça in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Paredes: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Leça: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paredes scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Leça scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paredes 50%, Leça 50%. Over 2.5: Paredes 50%, Leça 0%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Paredes has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.53. Paredes: 12.5 shots per match, Leça: 12.5.
Match halves
Paredes: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Leça: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Paredes: 0-15 (1 goals). Leça: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paredes sit 1st, having won both of their matches so far this season, and have a perfect home record, while Leça are seventh and remain winless after two games. At home, the hosts average 3 goals from 12 shots and 5 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors are yet to score away from home and have failed to find the net in 100% of their away appearances. Paredes’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances: the hosts’ average xG is 1.48, while Leça allow opponents an xG of 1.86. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 2 goals away from home, while Paredes restrict their opponents to just 0.82 xG, limiting Leça’s chances of breaking through. The last five matches also favour the hosts, who have collected 1.6 points per game during this period compared with Leça’s 1 point.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Leça’s very poor finishing: in the season data, the visitors are averaging 0.0 goals, have failed to score in 100% of their matches, and have a BTTS rate of 0%. Paredes have a very solid defence from a qualitative standpoint, allowing opponents just 0.35 xG per match, while Leça’s attacking xG stands at only 1.11. The hosts should nevertheless find a way to score, as they are creating an average of 1.95 xG and 7 shots on target, while Leça are conceding an average of 2.0 goals and 1.86 xG. The last five matches provide slightly more arguments in favour of the visitors, as their xG has risen to 1.43, but they have scored only 0.8 goals per match during this period. With the league-average BTTS rate at 40%, the more likely scenario is BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team—primarily Leça—is expected to fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Paredes have a clear edge in chance creation: the hosts’ average xG is 1.95, while Leça allow an average of 1.86 xG to their opponents. However, the visitors are offensively limited, averaging 0.8 goals over their last 5 matches and failing to score in their away data. In the teams’ last five matches, Paredes games went Over 2.5 goals in 40% of cases, compared with just 20% for Leça, supporting a scenario with a moderate number of goals. The league average is only 1.95 goals per match, and just 30% of games go Over 2.5. The projected total of 2.22 goals primarily points to an advantage on Under 3.5 goals, with the most likely scores being 1:0, 2:0 or 2:1.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Paredes win at full-time (X/1), as Leça were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Paredes. First halves are typically cautious: Paredes averaged 0.4 goals and Leça just 0.2, with neither team recording matches in which both sides scored before the break. After half-time, the hosts should have the clearer advantage, with an average xG of 1.95 compared with the visitors’ 1.11, while also averaging 16 shots and 7 on target, versus Leça’s 9 and 4. Leça concede an average of 1.2 goals across their last five matches, while Paredes have scored 1.2 goals and lost only 20% of their games over the same period, further supporting the HT/FT turnaround scenario in which the hosts break the deadlock in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paredes | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.09 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paredes is 500% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Paredes · 0.5 pts / match - Leça
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Paredes · 0.5 goals / match - Leça
Paredes is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Paredes · 1.5 goals / match - Leça
Paredes scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Leça keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Leça scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paredes
Over / Under - Leça
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Paredes · 0.5 pts / match - Leça
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leça - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paredes
Leça
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Paredes | Liga | Leça | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.23 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 37% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Paredes vs Leça?
The Liga 3 match finished Paredes 1:2 Leça. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paredes vs Leça?
Paredes score 2.00 goals per game on average and Leça 0.50. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Paredes's matches and 50% of Leça's.
What form are Paredes and Leça in?
Over the last 5 games Paredes have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Leça 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paredes vs Leça?
The statistical background for Paredes vs Leça — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.