Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne: match statistics
Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paris 13 Atletico played Aubagne in National (France). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Paris 13 Atletico: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Aubagne: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paris 13 Atletico scores 0.83 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Aubagne scores 1.13 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paris 13 Atletico 47%, Aubagne 63%. Over 2.5: Paris 13 Atletico 40%, Aubagne 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Aubagne has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.12. Paris 13 Atletico: 8.3 shots per match, Aubagne: 9.7.
Match halves
Paris 13 Atletico: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.60. Aubagne: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Paris 13 Atletico: 76-90+ (9 goals). Aubagne: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paris 13 Atletico holds a slight home advantage: they have scored 25 goals this season (average 1.00 home goals per match), record an average home xG of 1.32 and 51% possession, whereas Aubagne have 34 goals this season and average 1.27 goals on the road with an xG of 1.20 and 46% possession. The hosts are marginally more solid defensively — Paris 13 concede 1.27 goals per home match (opponent xG 1.36) and keep 40% clean sheets, while Aubagne concede 1.40 on the road with only 27% clean sheets. Additionally, Paris 13 fail to score in just 27% of their home matches, compared to Aubagne failing to score in 40% of away matches, increasing the hosts' likelihood of finding the net. Offensively Aubagne show better efficiency (4.27 shots on target and 13% conversion away versus the hosts' 3.93 SOT and 10% conversion), which explains the visitors' 34 goals versus Paris 13's 25 this season. Considering the hosts' superior defensive organization and greater reliability in scoring at home, I give Paris 13 a slight edge and tip them to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal signals are mixed: Paris 13 Atletico has BTTS in 80% of matches, while Aubagne in 47%. Looking at percentage of matches without scoring, Paris 13 finishes without a goal in 13% of games (i.e. 87% chance to score), and Aubagne in 40% (60% chance to score), which as a simple product gives an approximate both-teams-to-score estimate of ~52% (0.87×0.60≈0.522). This is supported by xG and defensive analysis: xG_for is 1.28 vs 1.20, and xG_against is 1.43 and 1.48, meaning both teams generate about 1.2 xG while typically conceding around 1.45 xG; with the league average at 2.38 goals per game — conditions favor goals on both ends. However, in the last 5 matches Paris 13 has only 20% BTTS and scored 2 goals while conceding 7, whereas Aubagne has 80% BTTS and scored 5 while conceding 9, indicating recently the visitors score more often and both sides have been vulnerable to goals. Considering the home side’s high seasonal BTTS rate of 80%, Paris 13’s extremely low clean sheet rate of 7%, and the baseline estimate of ~52%, I lean to a 'both teams to score' bet and propose a weighting of 60% YES vs 40% NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal rates of matches over 1.5 goals are 87% for Paris 13 Atletico and 80% for Aubagne, averaging 83.5%, which strongly favors Over 1.5 (estimate 84%). Combined xG (attack and defense) gives 1.38 xG for the home side (1.28 vs 1.48) and 1.32 xG for the away side (1.20 vs 1.43), total ≈2.70, which confirms an edge for the over 1.5 goals bet. The 2.5 line shows mixed signals: seasonal Over 2.5 is 33% (home) and 67% (away), and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 is 40% and 60% respectively, so I estimate Over 2.5 at 58% with lower confidence. Over 3.5 is unlikely — both teams have 20% of matches over 3.5 goals this season, hence Over 3.5 ≈20%. Therefore the best choice is Over 1.5, supported by the high seasonal rates 87% vs 80% and the projected 2.70 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side are trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches (trailingAtHTPercentage_home = 60.0), and they score on average only 0.27 goals in the first half versus 0.53 for the away side (scoredAVGHT_home 0.27 vs scoredAVGHT_away 0.53), which supports Aubagne leading after 45 minutes. The away team win 40% of matches (winPercentage_away = 40.0) while Paris 13 Atletico win only 13% (winPercentage_home = 13.0), so the visitors holding their lead to full-time is realistic. Both teams are active in the second half (on average 1.33 goals in the second half each: AVG_2hg_home = 1.33 and AVG_2hg_away = 1.33), giving Aubagne a chance to see the result through; therefore I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 scenario (38%). As an alternative I indicate Half-Time draw/Full-Time away win (X/2) at 20% probability, since the visitors were drawing at the break in 53% of away games (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 53.0) and have a 40% win rate (winPercentage_away = 40.0). Scenarios that start with the home side leading at half-time are unlikely (the home side lead at the break in only 7% of matches), hence the '1/' variants I rate at 16% overall.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paris 13 Atletico | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aubagne is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Paris 13 Atletico · 1.13 goals / match - Aubagne
Paris 13 Atletico is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Paris 13 Atletico · 1.47 goals / match - Aubagne
Paris 13 Atletico scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Aubagne scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Paris 13 Atletico keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paris 13 Atletico
Over / Under - Aubagne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paris 13 Atletico is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Paris 13 Atletico · 0.73 pts / match - Aubagne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paris 13 Atletico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paris 13 Atletico
Aubagne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Paris 13 Atletico | Liga | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paris 13 Atletico 0 - 1 - 0 Aubagne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?
The National match finished Paris 13 Atletico 1:1 Aubagne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?
Paris 13 Atletico score 0.83 goals per game on average and Aubagne 1.13. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Paris 13 Atletico's matches and 63% of Aubagne's.
What form are Paris 13 Atletico and Aubagne in?
Over the last 5 games Paris 13 Atletico have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aubagne 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paris 13 Atletico vs Aubagne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.