Paris 13 Atletico vs Quevilly Rouen: match statistics

Quevilly Rouen have been in clearly better form over their last five matches, collecting 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Paris 13 Atletico have managed just 2 points and have not won a single game. The visitors scored 4 goals during this period—twice as many as the hosts’ 2—while conceding only 3 goals compared with Paris 13 Atletico’s 8. Paris 13 Atletico have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game over this run highlights a significant issue with defensive control. Quevilly Rouen have also not been particularly clinical, making a draw a realistic scenario; however, their superior 4:3 goal difference and more stable form favour an away win.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Quevilly Rouen’s recent run, in which both teams scored in only 0% of matches. Paris 13 Atletico have scored just 2 goals in their last five games, averaging 0.4 per match, with an xG of 0.93. During this period, Quevilly conceded only 0.6 goals per game and 3 goals in total, while their xG against stood at 1.07, limiting the prospects of the hosts breaking through. The visitors themselves averaged 0.8 goals, so a modest scoreline for them is more realistic than an open game with goals from both sides. BTTS - No also covers a 0:1 or 0:0 scenario, both of which fit Paris 13 Atletico’s low attacking efficiency and Quevilly’s defensive form.

The available season data is empty, so the assessment is based on the last five matches, in which Paris 13 Atletico scored only 0.4 goals per game, while Quevilly Rouen conceded just 0.6. The hosts created chances worth 0.93 xG during this period, whereas the visitors’ defence allowed an average of 1.07 xG, limiting the prospects of a high goal tally for the home side. Quevilly Rouen recorded 1.33 xG and 0.8 goals scored per game, while Paris conceded 1.6 goals, so the visitors should have a clear advantage, although this does not necessarily translate into a high-scoring game. Only 40% of the teams’ last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, and Quevilly’s matches did not produce goals from both teams even once. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5: the projected total of 1.85 goals provides a substantial margin against the four goals required to lose this bet.

The strongest scenario is for Quevilly Rouen to lead at the break and maintain their advantage until the final whistle, as Paris 13 Atletico have failed to win any of their last five matches, losing 60% of them. During this period, the hosts averaged just 0.4 goals scored per match and conceded 1.6, while the visitors recorded 1.6 points per game compared with just 0.4 for Paris. In the first halves, Quevilly did not score on average across their last five matches, but Paris conceded 0.8 goals before the break and went into half-time trailing in as many as 40% of those games. After the interval, the difference is clear: the visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded, whereas the hosts scored only 0.2 and allowed opponents to score 0.8. A half-time draw remains a realistic possibility, as Quevilly were level at the break in 80% of their last matches, but the visitors’ superior form and Paris’s attacking weaknesses favour the 2/2 option.