Paris vs Nice: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested, which is reflected in both teams' statistics. As the home side, Paris is in poor form with only 18% of wins at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Nice as the away team performs even worse, with a 73% loss rate on the road and a 0% clean sheet rate, indicating major defensive issues. The last five matches for both teams show a tendency for draws – Paris has recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games, similarly to Nice. Paris's advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better xG (1.45 vs 1.15) are neutralized by their own defensive problems and poor efficiency in front of their home crowd. Considering that both teams share similar defensive weaknesses and average attacking efficiency, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although a slight edge for the hosts stems from playing at their home ground.
Paris vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paris play Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paris: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nice: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paris scores 1.38 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Nice scores 1.09 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paris 62%, Nice 59%. Over 2.5: Paris 56%, Nice 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Paris has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.25. Paris: 11.7 shots per match, Nice: 11.2.
Match halves
Paris: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Nice: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Paris: 76-90+ (14 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The match promises to be very evenly contested, which is reflected in both teams' statistics. As the home side, Paris is in poor form with only 18% of wins at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Nice as the away team performs even worse, with a 73% loss rate on the road and a 0% clean sheet rate, indicating major defensive issues. The last five matches for both teams show a tendency for draws – Paris has recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games, similarly to Nice. Paris's advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better xG (1.45 vs 1.15) are neutralized by their own defensive problems and poor efficiency in front of their home crowd. Considering that both teams share similar defensive weaknesses and average attacking efficiency, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although a slight edge for the hosts stems from playing at their home ground.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paris | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paris is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Paris · 0.8 pts / match - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paris is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Paris · 1.09 goals / match - Nice
Paris is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Paris · 1.76 goals / match - Nice
Paris scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Nice scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paris
Over / Under — Nice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paris is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Paris · 1.09 pts / match - Nice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paris
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Paris | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.83 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paris 0 - 1 - 0 Nice. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paris vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Paris 1:0 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paris vs Nice?
Paris score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nice 1.09. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Paris's matches and 59% of Nice's.
What form are Paris and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Paris have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nice 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris vs Nice?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paris vs Nice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.