Paris vs Nice: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested, which is reflected in both teams' statistics. As the home side, Paris is in poor form with only 18% of wins at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Nice as the away team performs even worse, with a 73% loss rate on the road and a 0% clean sheet rate, indicating major defensive issues. The last five matches for both teams show a tendency for draws – Paris has recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games, similarly to Nice. Paris's advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better xG (1.45 vs 1.15) are neutralized by their own defensive problems and poor efficiency in front of their home crowd. Considering that both teams share similar defensive weaknesses and average attacking efficiency, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although a slight edge for the hosts stems from playing at their home ground.
Paris vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paris played Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paris: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Nice: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paris scores 1.17 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Nice scores 1.30 and concedes 1.87. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paris 61%, Nice 65%. Over 2.5: Paris 57%, Nice 57%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Nice has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.23. Paris: 11.1 shots per match, Nice: 11.5.
Match halves
Paris: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.65. Nice: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Paris: 76-90+ (9 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested, which is reflected in both teams' statistics. As the home side, Paris is in poor form with only 18% of wins at home and a goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Nice as the away team performs even worse, with a 73% loss rate on the road and a 0% clean sheet rate, indicating major defensive issues. The last five matches for both teams show a tendency for draws – Paris has recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games, similarly to Nice. Paris's advantage in possession (58% vs 48%) and better xG (1.45 vs 1.15) are neutralized by their own defensive problems and poor efficiency in front of their home crowd. Considering that both teams share similar defensive weaknesses and average attacking efficiency, the most probable outcome appears to be a draw, although a slight edge for the hosts stems from playing at their home ground.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paris | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nice is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Paris · 1.2 pts / match - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nice is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Paris · 1.3 goals / match - Nice
Paris is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Paris · 1.87 goals / match - Nice
Paris scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Nice scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paris
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nice is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Paris · 1.35 pts / match - Nice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paris
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Paris | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.81 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paris 0 - 1 - 0 Nice. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paris vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Paris 1:0 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paris vs Nice?
Paris score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nice 1.30. The Ligue 1 average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Paris's matches and 65% of Nice's.
What form are Paris and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Paris have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Nice 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris vs Nice?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paris vs Nice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.