Paris vs Olympique Marseille: match statistics
Olympique Marseille occupies third place in the table and displays significantly better form than Paris, who find themselves in fifteenth position. The visitors have won 56% of their away matches this season, while the hosts have won only 22% of their home games. Marseille have scored 44 goals this season while conceding only 20, giving them a goal difference of +8 away from home, whereas Paris have a negative goal difference of -3 in home matches. The average xG for the visitors (1.65) exceeds the hosts' xG (1.49), confirming their offensive superiority. Recent form also speaks in favor of Olympique Marseille, who have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, while Paris have conceded only 3 goals in that period, but still struggle with consistency. All these factors point to a likely away victory.
Paris vs Olympique Marseille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paris played Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Paris: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Olympique Marseille: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paris scores 1.26 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Olympique Marseille scores 2.32 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paris 63%, Olympique Marseille 47%. Over 2.5: Paris 58%, Olympique Marseille 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.28. Paris: 11.7 shots per match, Olympique Marseille: 14.4.
Match halves
Paris: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.32.
Goals by minute
Paris: 76-90+ (7 goals). Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille occupies third place in the table and displays significantly better form than Paris, who find themselves in fifteenth position. The visitors have won 56% of their away matches this season, while the hosts have won only 22% of their home games. Marseille have scored 44 goals this season while conceding only 20, giving them a goal difference of +8 away from home, whereas Paris have a negative goal difference of -3 in home matches. The average xG for the visitors (1.65) exceeds the hosts' xG (1.49), confirming their offensive superiority. Recent form also speaks in favor of Olympique Marseille, who have scored 17 goals in their last five matches, while Paris have conceded only 3 goals in that period, but still struggle with consistency. All these factors point to a likely away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paris | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olympique Marseille is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paris · 1.8 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Paris · 2.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Paris · 1.05 goals / match - Olympique Marseille
Paris scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Olympique Marseille scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paris
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Paris · 1.63 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paris
Olympique Marseille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Paris | Liga | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paris 0 - 0 - 1 Olympique Marseille. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paris vs Olympique Marseille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Paris 2:2 Olympique Marseille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paris vs Olympique Marseille?
Paris score 1.26 goals per game on average and Olympique Marseille 2.32. The Ligue 1 average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Paris's matches and 47% of Olympique Marseille's.
What form are Paris and Olympique Marseille in?
Over the last 5 games Paris have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Olympique Marseille 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris vs Olympique Marseille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.