France - Ligue 1Stade Jean BouinData current as of 15 October 2026

Paris vs Rennes: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paris vs Rennes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Paris play Rennes in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stade Jean Bouin.

Current form

Paris: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Rennes: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Paris scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Rennes scores 2.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Paris 33%, Rennes 67%. Over 2.5: Paris 50%, Rennes 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Rennes has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.49. Paris: 13.8 shots per match, Rennes: 17.0.

Match halves

Paris: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67. Rennes: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Paris: 16-30 (3 goals). Rennes: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.63)
(3.90)
(2.64)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match2
ParisRennes
0.67Goals conceded / match1.67
ParisRennes
52%Average possession52%
ParisRennes
4.33Shots on target / match6.17
ParisRennes

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.83Shots per match17
ParisRennes
4.33Shots on target6.17
ParisRennes
9.6%Shot conversion11.8%
ParisRennes
52%Possession52%
ParisRennes
1.49xG for1.87
ParisRennes
1.19xG against1.73
ParisRennes

Shooting quality

Paris: BalancedRennes: Attacking
ParisRennes
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rennes is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Paris · 2.4 pts / match - Rennes

Paris
WWDWL
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Rennes
WWWLW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rennes is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Paris · 2 goals / match - Rennes

Paris is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Paris · 1.67 goals / match - Rennes

Paris scoring profile: strong

Paris scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Rennes scoring profile: strong

Rennes scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

8Goals scored (season)12
ParisRennes
4Goals conceded (season)10
ParisRennes
2Average goals in match3.67
ParisRennes
8Goals scored (last 5)10
ParisRennes
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
ParisRennes

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
ParisRennes
50%2 goals67%
ParisRennes
33%3 goals33%
ParisRennes
0%4 goals17%
ParisRennes

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
ParisRennes
17%2 goals50%
ParisRennes
0%3 goals17%
ParisRennes
0%4 goals17%
ParisRennes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time50%
ParisRennes
17%BTTS in both halves17%
ParisRennes
50%Scored in both halves33%
ParisRennes

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
ParisRennes
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
ParisRennes
40%BTTS - last 560%
ParisRennes

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
ParisRennes
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time83%
ParisRennes
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
ParisRennes

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ParisRennes
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
ParisRennes
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
ParisRennes

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paris is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Paris · 1.83 pts / match - Rennes

Paris - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Rennes - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.83
ParisRennes
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.17
ParisRennes
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
ParisRennes
0.83Average goals (1st half)2
ParisRennes
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
ParisRennes
50%No goal before half-time33%
ParisRennes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.33
ParisRennes
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
ParisRennes
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
ParisRennes
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.67
ParisRennes
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
ParisRennes
50%No goal after half-time50%
ParisRennes

Paris - second-half results

17% W67% D17% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rennes - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Rennes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Paris
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Rennes
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Paris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Rennes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

ParisLigaRennes
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.91▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 33%61%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%61%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▲ 50%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%70%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Paris 0 - 0 - 2 Rennes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Stade Rennais FC
2 : 1
Paris FC
Paris FC
0 : 1
Stade Rennais FC

FAQ

When do Paris and Rennes play?

Paris face Rennes on 18 October 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade Jean Bouin. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paris and Rennes?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paris won 0, Rennes won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paris vs Rennes?

Paris score 1.33 goals per game on average and Rennes 2.00. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Paris's matches and 67% of Rennes's.

What form are Paris and Rennes in?

Over the last 5 games Paris have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Rennes 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paris vs Rennes?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Paris vs Rennes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.