Parma vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Parma played Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Parma: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Parma scores 0.67 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.06 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Parma 40%, Fiorentina 69%. Over 2.5: Parma 33%, Fiorentina 63%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.20. Parma: 11.3 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.7.

Match halves

Parma: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33. Fiorentina: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Parma: 31-45+ (3 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
ParmaFiorentina
13Shots23
ParmaFiorentina
2Shots on target4
ParmaFiorentina
1.3xG2.31
ParmaFiorentina
5Corners6
ParmaFiorentina
48Dangerous attacks82
ParmaFiorentina
10Fouls15
ParmaFiorentina
2Cards2
ParmaFiorentina

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.67Goals scored / match1.06
ParmaFiorentina
1.2Goals conceded / match1.69
ParmaFiorentina
42%Average possession53%
ParmaFiorentina
3.07Shots on target / match3
ParmaFiorentina

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.33Shots per match12.69
ParmaFiorentina
3.07Shots on target3
ParmaFiorentina
5.9%Shot conversion8.4%
ParmaFiorentina
42%Possession53%
ParmaFiorentina
1.2xG for1.28
ParmaFiorentina
1.49xG against1.47
ParmaFiorentina

Shooting quality

Parma: BalancedFiorentina: Balanced
ParmaFiorentina
Accuracy (shots on target)27%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Parma is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Parma · 0.8 pts / match - Fiorentina

Parma
DWLWL
Season result split
20% W33% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-7
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Fiorentina
DLLLW
Season result split
6% W38% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-6-9
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fiorentina is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Parma · 1.06 goals / match - Fiorentina

Parma is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Parma · 1.69 goals / match - Fiorentina

Parma scoring profile: strong

Parma scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

Fiorentina scoring profile: strong

Fiorentina scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

10Goals scored (season)17
ParmaFiorentina
18Goals conceded (season)27
ParmaFiorentina
1.87Average goals in match2.75
ParmaFiorentina
5Goals scored (last 5)8
ParmaFiorentina
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
ParmaFiorentina

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal69%
ParmaFiorentina
20%2 goals19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%3 goals6%
ParmaFiorentina
0%4 goals6%
ParmaFiorentina

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal88%
ParmaFiorentina
40%2 goals63%
ParmaFiorentina
7%3 goals19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%4 goals0%
ParmaFiorentina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time19%
ParmaFiorentina
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ParmaFiorentina
20%Scored in both halves13%
ParmaFiorentina

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ParmaFiorentina
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ParmaFiorentina
40%BTTS - last 580%
ParmaFiorentina

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
ParmaFiorentina
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
ParmaFiorentina
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
ParmaFiorentina

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
ParmaFiorentina
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
ParmaFiorentina
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
ParmaFiorentina

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Parma is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Parma · 0.75 pts / match - Fiorentina

Parma - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Fiorentina - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)0.75
ParmaFiorentina
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.44
ParmaFiorentina
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
ParmaFiorentina
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.19
ParmaFiorentina
67%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ParmaFiorentina
67%No goal before half-time69%
ParmaFiorentina

After half-time (2nd half)

0.73Points per match (2nd half)1.06
ParmaFiorentina
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
ParmaFiorentina
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
ParmaFiorentina
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.56
ParmaFiorentina
40%Clean sheet after half-time31%
ParmaFiorentina
67%No goal after half-time50%
ParmaFiorentina

Parma - second-half results

7% W53% D40% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fiorentina - second-half results

19% W50% D31% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding46%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Parma - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fiorentina - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Parma
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Fiorentina
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Parma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
53%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Fiorentina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

ParmaLigaFiorentina
Average goals in match 1.872.34 2.75
Both teams scored 40%47% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%44% 63%
Clean sheets 27%32% 13%
Goal before half-time 53%64% 69%
Goal after half-time 67%74% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ParmaYellow cardAlessandro Circati
  2. FiorentinaYellow cardRolando Mandragora
  3. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Niccolò FortiniOff: Mattia Viti
  4. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Roberto PiccoliOff: Rolando Mandragora
  5. ParmaYellow cardEdoardo Corvi
  6. FiorentinaSubstitutionOn: Eddy Nda Konan KouadioOff: Pietro Comuzzo
  7. FiorentinaYellow cardMarin Pongracic

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marco GuidaMatches officiated: 15
4.4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins27%Draws33%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Parma vs Fiorentina?

The Serie A match finished Parma 1:0 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Parma vs Fiorentina?

Parma score 0.67 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.06. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Parma's matches and 69% of Fiorentina's.

What form are Parma and Fiorentina in?

Over the last 5 games Parma have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Parma vs Fiorentina?

The statistical background for Parma vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.