Parma vs Genoa: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates that both teams are evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Parma has been in poor form at home with a win rate of only 20% and as many as 50% losses, scoring an average of just 0.7 goals per match. Genoa performs slightly better offensively in away matches (1.44 goals on average), but they have never kept a clean sheet on the road and concede an average of 1.78 goals. The recent form of both teams is unstable - Parma with a tally of 1.6 points per match in their last five games, Genoa only 1.0 point. Considering the defensive issues of both teams and their similar xG values, I expect an open match ending in a share of the points.
Parma vs Genoa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Parma played Genoa in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Parma: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Genoa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Parma scores 0.70 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Genoa scores 1.10 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Parma 40%, Genoa 65%. Over 2.5: Parma 30%, Genoa 60%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Genoa has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.16. Parma: 10.9 shots per match, Genoa: 11.2.
Match halves
Parma: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.40. Genoa: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Parma: 61-75 (4 goals). Genoa: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates that both teams are evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Parma has been in poor form at home with a win rate of only 20% and as many as 50% losses, scoring an average of just 0.7 goals per match. Genoa performs slightly better offensively in away matches (1.44 goals on average), but they have never kept a clean sheet on the road and concede an average of 1.78 goals. The recent form of both teams is unstable - Parma with a tally of 1.6 points per match in their last five games, Genoa only 1.0 point. Considering the defensive issues of both teams and their similar xG values, I expect an open match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Parma | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Parma is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Parma · 1 pts / match - Genoa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Genoa is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Parma · 1.1 goals / match - Genoa
Parma is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Parma · 1.45 goals / match - Genoa
Parma scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Genoa keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Genoa scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Parma
Over / Under - Genoa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Genoa is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Parma · 1.35 pts / match - Genoa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Parma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Genoa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Parma
Genoa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Parma | Liga | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Parma 0 - 1 - 0 Genoa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Parma vs Genoa?
The Serie A match finished Parma 0:0 Genoa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Parma vs Genoa?
Parma score 0.70 goals per game on average and Genoa 1.10. The Serie A average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Parma's matches and 65% of Genoa's.
What form are Parma and Genoa in?
Over the last 5 games Parma have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Genoa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Parma vs Genoa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.