Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman: match statistics

Pars Jam Bushehr remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws with a 9:1 goal difference. Naft Masjed Soleyman also have three victories in their last five games, but suffered 2 defeats during this period and conceded 4 goals. The hosts drew 0:0 in their only home match to date, keeping a clean sheet, while the visitors won their only away fixture 3:0. Pars Jam’s superior recent defensive form and average of 2.2 points per game across their last five matches, compared with their opponents’ 1.8, offset Naft’s slightly higher position in the table. Therefore, a closely contested draw appears the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal points toward at least one team failing to score, as the seasonal BTTS rate stands at 0% for both Pars Jam Bushehr and Naft Masjed Soleyman. Pars Jam Bushehr have yet to score at home and have been held scoreless in 100% of such appearances, while Naft Masjed Soleyman have kept a 100% clean-sheet record away from home. Recent form also supports the BTTS - No selection: BTTS has occurred in only 20% of the last five matches for both teams, while the hosts have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals. The visitors have recently scored an average of 1.4 goals, but the hosts’ highly compact defense and the low league-wide BTTS average of 19% increase the likelihood of a result in which at least one side fails to find the net.

Pars Jam Bushehr’s last five matches produced an average of 1.8 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, meaning only 1 goal in total over this period. Naft Masjed Soleyman averaged 1.4 goals per match over the same span, but its average xG was only 0.97, while it allowed opponents 0.76 xG. Matches with at least three goals occurred in 60% of the home team’s recent fixtures and 40% of the away team’s, while both teams had goals scored by both sides in just 20% of their matches. The projected total of 2.00 goals is primarily based on the hosts’ very solid defensive record, giving Under 3.5 goals a clear edge; at least four goals are required for this bet to lose.

The strongest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Pars Jam Bushehr win at the final whistle, as the hosts have averaged 0.6 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded before the break in their last five matches. Over the same period, Naft Masjed Soleyman have failed to score in any first half, have been level at half-time in 60% of their matches and behind in 40%. After the interval, the hosts have averaged 1.2 goals scored and none conceded, while the visitors have conceded an average of 0.4 goals. Pars Jam remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, whereas Naft have suffered 2 defeats during this run.