Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa: match statistics
Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pars Jam Bushehr played Saipa in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 15 June 2026. Venue: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Pars Jam Bushehr: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Saipa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pars Jam Bushehr scores 1.14 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Saipa scores 0.86 and concedes 0.57. League average: 1.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pars Jam Bushehr 39%, Saipa 29%. Over 2.5: Pars Jam Bushehr 29%, Saipa 29%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Saipa has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.90. Pars Jam Bushehr: 0.6 shots per match, Saipa: 4.5.
Match halves
Pars Jam Bushehr: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.54. Saipa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Pars Jam Bushehr: 16-30 (8 goals). Saipa: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.51 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win because Pars Jam has a superior goal output this season: 32 goals scored versus Saipa’s 24, and at home they average 1.07 goals per game compared to Saipa’s 0.79 on the road. Pars Jam’s defense is also solid — they concede 0.64 goals on average at home and have kept a clean sheet in 57% of matches, while Saipa concede 0.71 on the road and likewise have 57% clean sheets, indicating comparable defensive stability. The last 5 fixtures confirm similar form: both teams scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches and have identical records of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, yielding 1.6 points per game in that period. Saipa, however, creates more chances away (average xG 1.30, 9.4 shots per game and 4.4 shots on target), but a low conversion rate around 6% means this only translates to 0.79 goals per game. Considering Pars Jam’s better season goal balance (32 vs 24) and their home efficiency advantage plus superior home goal difference (+6 vs Saipa’s +1 on the road), I give a slight edge to the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have identical, low seasonal BTTS rates of 29% (Pars Jam 29% and Saipa 29%), while the league BTTS rate is only 28% with an average goals per game of 1.51, which provides a weak basis for expecting Goal/Goal. The home side has BTTS 0% in the last 5 matches and conceded a total of 1 goal in that period (0.2 goals per game), and seasonally they keep a clean sheet in 71% of appearances, significantly reducing the likelihood of them conceding. The away team generates an xG of 1.30 per game seasonally and have scored 24 goals, but in the last 5 matches their xG dropped to just 0.08 per game, indicating a sudden decline in chance creation despite 4 goals scored in that span. Additionally, seasonal goal averages are 0.93 scored and 0.43 conceded for the home team and 0.79 scored and 0.71 conceded for the visitors, and clean sheet rates of 71% and 57% support the scenario that at least one team will keep a clean sheet. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at around 15% versus 85% for No Goal, therefore I recommend selecting 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal stats and xG point to low goal potential: Pars Jam has an attacking xG of 1.17, Saipa’s defense concedes xG 1.04 — on average (1.17+1.04)/2 ≈ 1.11 expected goals for the home side; similarly Saipa has xG 1.30 while Pars Jam’s defense concedes 0.79, giving ≈1.05 for the away side, totaling ≈2.16 goals. Historical distributions confirm this low tempo: only 36% of each team’s matches finish over 1.5 goals, 29% over 2.5, and just 7% over 3.5. Additionally Pars Jam records 71% clean sheets this season, Saipa 57%, and Saipa’s shot conversion is only 6% with an average of 4.4 shots on target, which limits final goal tallies. As a result the strongest signal from the data is Under 3.5 (base Over 3.5 rate only 7%), while Under 2.5 also performs well (71% of matches below 2.5). I therefore recommend Under 3.5 as the safest option; expected goals ≈1.11 for the home side and ≈1.05 for the away (total ≈2.16) support this choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a high number of halftime draws for the home side: Pars Jam were level at the break in 71% of matches (10 of 14) and led at halftime in only 29% (4 of 14), which favors an HT draw. At halftime Pars Jam average 0.57 goals scored and 0.14 conceded, while Saipa average 0.29 scored and 0.21 conceded, so the first half is statistically low-scoring. Over full matches the hosts win 43% and draw 50%, and Pars Jam keep 71% clean sheets this season, therefore an HT draw often holds until full-time or occasionally turns into a home win in the second half. Based on these figures I assign the highest probability to the scenario draw at half and draw at full-time (X/X 43%), with the second option draw at half and home win (X/1 24%), and a smaller probability for the home leading at half and winning (1/1 17%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pars Jam Bushehr | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.41 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 6.33 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pars Jam Bushehr is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Pars Jam Bushehr · 0.86 goals / match - Saipa
Saipa is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Pars Jam Bushehr · 0.57 goals / match - Saipa
Pars Jam Bushehr scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Saipa keeps a clean sheet in 64% (18 of 28 matches).
Saipa scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Pars Jam Bushehr keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pars Jam Bushehr
Over / Under - Saipa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pars Jam Bushehr is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / match - Pars Jam Bushehr · 1.46 pts / match - Saipa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pars Jam Bushehr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Saipa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pars Jam Bushehr
Saipa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Pars Jam Bushehr | Liga | Saipa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.86 | 1.51 | • 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 39% | 30% | • 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 46% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 45% | • 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pars Jam Bushehr 0 - 1 - 0 Saipa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa?
The Azadegan League match finished Pars Jam Bushehr 0:0 Saipa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa?
Pars Jam Bushehr score 1.14 goals per game on average and Saipa 0.86. The Azadegan League average is 1.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Pars Jam Bushehr's matches and 29% of Saipa's.
What form are Pars Jam Bushehr and Saipa in?
Over the last 5 games Pars Jam Bushehr have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Saipa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pars Jam Bushehr vs Saipa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.