Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: match statistics
Partick Thistle presents impressive home form with 73% of home matches won and only one defeat in their last 5 overall fixtures. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per home match while conceding just 0.82, giving them a goal difference of +12 in home games. Ayr United, despite a solid position in the table (4th place), has clearly weaker away form with 55% draws and only 36% victories on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.42), and Partick holds the advantage in possession (55% vs 47%) and shot efficiency. Given Partick Thistle's dominance at their own stadium and Ayr United's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely result is a victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic option.
Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Partick Thistle played Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Partick Thistle: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ayr United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Partick Thistle scores 1.50 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Partick Thistle 59%, Ayr United 62%. Over 2.5: Partick Thistle 45%, Ayr United 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Partick Thistle has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.43. Partick Thistle: 13.6 shots per match, Ayr United: 11.1.
Match halves
Partick Thistle: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82. Ayr United: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Partick Thistle: 0-15 (10 goals). Ayr United: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Partick Thistle presents impressive home form with 73% of home matches won and only one defeat in their last 5 overall fixtures. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table, scoring an average of 1.91 goals per home match while conceding just 0.82, giving them a goal difference of +12 in home games. Ayr United, despite a solid position in the table (4th place), has clearly weaker away form with 55% draws and only 36% victories on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.42), and Partick holds the advantage in possession (55% vs 47%) and shot efficiency. Given Partick Thistle's dominance at their own stadium and Ayr United's tendency to draw away from home, the most likely result is a victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic option.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Partick Thistle | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayr United is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1.2 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Partick Thistle is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Partick Thistle · 1.29 goals / match - Ayr United
Partick Thistle scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Ayr United scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Partick Thistle
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1.76 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Partick Thistle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Partick Thistle
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Partick Thistle | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.49 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 32% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Partick Thistle 1 - 1 - 0 Ayr United. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Partick Thistle 2:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Partick Thistle and Ayr United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Partick Thistle won 1, Ayr United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
Partick Thistle score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.29. The Championship average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Partick Thistle's matches and 62% of Ayr United's.
What form are Partick Thistle and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Partick Thistle have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?
The statistical background for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.