Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park: match statistics

Partick Thistle are unbeaten in the league, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, while Queen's Park have lost all 3 of their matches so far. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their games, averaging 2 goals scored and having yet to concede, whereas the visitors have scored 0 goals away from home and concede an average of 2 per match. The difference in the quality of chances created is clearly reflected in the average xG: 1.28 for Partick Thistle compared to just 0.82 for Queen's Park, with the visitors' xG against standing at as high as 2.59. The hosts also register more shots on target per game, 5 compared to 2, while Queen's Park have failed to score in any of their away appearances. Recent form also favours Partick Thistle, who have collected 8 points from their last five matches, compared to just 3 for their opponents, who have suffered 4 defeats.

The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, primarily due to Queen’s Park’s attacking problems: in the season data, the visitors average 0.0 goals and have failed to score in 100% of their matches. Their average xG is just 0.82, while 2 shots on target per match do not indicate a consistent ability to create high-quality chances. Partick Thistle have conceded just 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches, with an xG allowed of 0.95, further limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts should, in turn, be able to exploit the weakness of a defence that has conceded 1.8 goals per game over its last five outings and allowed an average of 1.58 xG. The low league-wide BTTS average of 33% also supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: neither team has exceeded this line in any of their league matches to date, meaning that 100% of their games have finished with a maximum of three goals. Queen’s Park have yet to score away from home, with an average xG of just 0.82, although Partick Thistle have conceded an average of 2.0 goals at home. The hosts have greater attacking potential, as their home xG stands at 1.05, while Queen’s Park allow opponents as much as 2.59 xG away from home, raising the projection for Partick Thistle to 1.42 goals. Despite this, Partick’s last five matches produced at least three goals in just 20% of games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The total projection of 2.35 goals points to a realistic chance of two or three goals, while leaving a clear safety margin for the Under 3.5 goals pick.

Partick Thistle are in clearly better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Queen’s Park have scored 1.0 and allowed opponents 1.8 goals per match. The hosts were leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 fixtures, averaging 0.8 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded before half-time; during the same period, the visitors were behind after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches. Thistle’s superiority is also reflected in the quality of chances, with their average xG standing at 1.05 compared with the very weak defensive figure of 2.59 xG conceded by Queen’s Park. The visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, and in 80% of them they failed to score before half-time. The most likely scenario is therefore that Partick Thistle will take the lead in the first half and maintain their advantage until the final whistle, corresponding to the HT/FT 1/1 outcome.