Partick Thistle vs Ross County: match statistics
Partick Thistle are showing impressive home form with a 67% win rate at home and just 0% defeats, making them an extremely tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have a significant advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game at home, while Ross County score just 0.53 goals away. Ross County have issues with their away offense, failing to score in 60% of matches, and their 13% away win rate along with a negative goal difference of -14 in away matches indicate significant difficulties. Additionally, the difference in xG confirms the hosts' advantage (1.56 vs 1.02), and their 47% clean sheets at home attests to a solid defense. Considering Partick Thistle's second position in the table and Ross County's ninth, all indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts.
Partick Thistle vs Ross County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Partick Thistle played Ross County in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Partick Thistle: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Ross County: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Partick Thistle scores 1.47 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Ross County scores 0.87 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Partick Thistle 57%, Ross County 37%. Over 2.5: Partick Thistle 47%, Ross County 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Partick Thistle has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.24. Partick Thistle: 13.0 shots per match, Ross County: 10.3.
Match halves
Partick Thistle: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.73. Ross County: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Partick Thistle: 0-15 (13 goals). Ross County: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Partick Thistle are showing impressive home form with a 67% win rate at home and just 0% defeats, making them an extremely tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have a significant advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game at home, while Ross County score just 0.53 goals away. Ross County have issues with their away offense, failing to score in 60% of matches, and their 13% away win rate along with a negative goal difference of -14 in away matches indicate significant difficulties. Additionally, the difference in xG confirms the hosts' advantage (1.56 vs 1.02), and their 47% clean sheets at home attests to a solid defense. Considering Partick Thistle's second position in the table and Ross County's ninth, all indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS is Ross County's poor attacking efficiency: averaging only 0.53 goals per match, 60% of matches without a goal scored, and just 27% of matches with BTTS. In their last 5 matches, the visitors continue to score sparingly (0.8 goals and an xG of 0.84), and their BTTS rate has dropped to 20%, suggesting frequent scoreless outings. Partick Thistle should find the net, as Ross County concedes an average of 1.47 goals (GA 45), and the advantage of playing at home in the league further supports this. Meanwhile, Partick's defense has been more solid in form (0.6 goals conceded per match in the last 5), which limits the visitors' goal-scoring chances. Overall, the data suggests a scenario with only one team scoring is more likely than a goal exchange.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model based on xG data and form from the last 5 matches suggests a moderately high-scoring game (approximately 2.25 goals total), with Partick having superior chance creation (12.07 shots and 4.13 SOT vs 8.47 and 2.73). Ross County has a low seasonal scoring rate (0.53 goals per match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal (FTS 60%), which limits the match's scoring ceiling despite a solid xG_for (1.02). Historical distributions also support a no-goalfest scenario: Over 3.5 is only 27% for the home team and 20% for the away team, while Under 3.5 is 73% and 80% respectively. The 2.5 lines are more balanced (Over 2.5: 53% home and 33% away, last 5 matches each at 40%), which increases uncertainty at that threshold. Therefore, the strongest signal is for Under 3.5, as most scoreline combinations given the expected goals and trends result in a maximum of 3 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data points to a cautious first half: Ross County has very low goal averages (0.53 per match; 0.20 by halftime) and a high percentage of 'FTS' (60% overall and as high as 80% in the first half), which boosts the draw-at-halftime scenario. Partick Thistle generates clearly better attack quality and volume (xG 1.46 vs 1.02; shots 12.07 vs 8.47; on target 4.13 vs 2.73), and Ross County concedes an average of 1.47 goals. Ross County's profile is heavily 'draw-prone' (47% draws) and they often go into halftime level (47%), so X at HT is the baseline scenario. After the break, the advantage lies with Partick's form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches, they concede only 0.6 goals per match, and in the second halves they have 2.2 PPG compared to the opponent's 0.6 PPG, with Ross County averaging no goals after halftime (0.0) in this period. This supports the most likely HT/FT outcome of X/1: draw at halftime and a home win by the end.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Partick Thistle | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Partick Thistle is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1 pts / match - Ross County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Partick Thistle is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Partick Thistle · 0.87 goals / match - Ross County
Partick Thistle is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Partick Thistle · 1.5 goals / match - Ross County
Partick Thistle scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Ross County scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Partick Thistle
Over / Under - Ross County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Partick Thistle is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Partick Thistle · 1.1 pts / match - Ross County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Partick Thistle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ross County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Partick Thistle
Ross County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Partick Thistle | Liga | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.38 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 43% | • 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 33% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Partick Thistle 2 - 0 - 1 Ross County. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Partick Thistle vs Ross County?
The Championship match finished Partick Thistle 3:1 Ross County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Partick Thistle and Ross County?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Partick Thistle won 2, Ross County won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Partick Thistle vs Ross County?
Partick Thistle score 1.47 goals per game on average and Ross County 0.87. The Championship average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Partick Thistle's matches and 37% of Ross County's.
What form are Partick Thistle and Ross County in?
Over the last 5 games Partick Thistle have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ross County 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Partick Thistle vs Ross County?
The statistical background for Partick Thistle vs Ross County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.