Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors: match statistics
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Patronato played Chacarita Juniors in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Patronato: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Chacarita Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Patronato scores 0.58 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Chacarita Juniors scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Patronato 25%, Chacarita Juniors 33%. Over 2.5: Patronato 25%, Chacarita Juniors 25%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Patronato has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.07. Patronato: 9.7 shots per match, Chacarita Juniors: 7.5.
Match halves
Patronato: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Chacarita Juniors: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Patronato: 31-45+ (3 goals). Chacarita Juniors: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Patronato has a statistical home advantage and creates more chance volume — the hosts average 11.2 shots per match and 3.2 on target, translating to 1.0 goals per home game, versus Chacarita’s 6.6 shots, 2.8 on target and 0.4 goals away. Additionally, the hosts’ conversion rate is 9% versus the visitors’ 6%, and Chacarita have yet to win on the road (away win% 0%) and failed to score in 60% of their away matches. Defensively the teams are similar (Patronato concedes 1.0 goals at home, Chacarita 1.2 away), but xG favors the hosts 1.33 to 1.05, indicating more quality chances for Patronato. Although Chacarita have slightly better recent form in the last 5 matches overall (2.0 vs 1.8 points), their poor away numbers and lack of wins away make them the underdog. Therefore I project a home win: 60% probability for Patronato, 28% for a draw and 12% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The balance points to no BTTS: Patronato averages 1.29 goals per game while Chacarita only 0.4, so the visitors have significant problems scoring. Home side has 43% clean sheets this season versus 20% for the away team, and the league-wide clean sheet rate is as high as 77%, suggesting many matches with one or no goals. In the last 5 matches Chacarita had 0% BTTS and conceded on average only 0.2 goals, and their conversion rate is 6% (vs 16% for Patronato), so the visitors are unlikely to score regularly. Admittedly xG are similar (1.08 for the home side vs 1.05 for the visitors) and the away team averages 2.8 shots on target, however the low finishing efficiency and high clean sheet rates favor a No Goal outcome. Therefore I estimate BTTS probability at 25% for "BTTS - Yes" and 75% for "No Goal".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining both teams' xG (Patronato xG_for 1.08 and Chacarita xG_against 1.25; Chacarita xG_for 1.05 and Patronato xG_against 1.10) yields expected goals of 1.17 for Patronato and 1.08 for Chacarita, totaling 2.25. A Poisson model with lambda=2.25 produces probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈66%, Over 2.5 ≈39% and Over 3.5 ≈19%. Seasonal metrics support a lower final score: only 29% of Patronato home matches are >2.5 and 20% of Chacarita away matches are >2.5, while the league average is 31% of matches >2.5 with 1.91 goals per game. Additionally, Chacarita scores an average of 0.40 goals away, and Patronato has averaged 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches with xG 1.54 (indicating limited finishing); Patronato also records 43% clean sheets at home, which reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is Under 2.5, so I recommend backing the Under side at the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Patronato draws at half-time in 57% of their matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 57) and leads at the break in 29% (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 29), so the most likely state after 45 minutes is a draw. Chacarita Juniors have a 0% away win rate this season (winPercentage_away = 0.0) and average 0.4 goals per away game versus the home side’s 1.29, which severely limits their chances of a turnaround. After the break Patronato average 0.71 goals (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.71) and earn 1.57 points in the second half (ppg_2hg_home = 1.57) compared to 0.2 and 0.8 for the visitors, so from a half-time draw they more frequently convert to a win. Additionally, the hosts have higher shot efficiency (conversion 16% vs 6%) and keep a clean sheet at half-time in 71% of matches (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 71), which favors low scores after 45 minutes but better Patronato effectiveness in the second half. Therefore the clearest signal is X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) and it consequently receives the highest probability (35%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Patronato | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chacarita Juniors is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Patronato · 2 pts / match - Chacarita Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chacarita Juniors is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - Patronato · 0.92 goals / match - Chacarita Juniors
Patronato is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Patronato · 1 goals / match - Chacarita Juniors
Patronato scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Chacarita Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Chacarita Juniors scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Patronato keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Patronato
Over / Under - Chacarita Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Patronato - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chacarita Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Patronato | Liga | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.90 | • 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 58% | • 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Patronato 2:0 Chacarita Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
Patronato score 0.58 goals per game on average and Chacarita Juniors 0.92. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Patronato's matches and 33% of Chacarita Juniors's.
What form are Patronato and Chacarita Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Patronato have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Chacarita Juniors 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors?
The statistical background for Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.