Pau vs Boulogne: match statistics
Pau presents solid home form with a 36% win rate and only 18% of games without scoring at home. The hosts average 1.45 goals per match with an xG of 1.56, indicating attacking efficiency. Boulogne has a weaker record in away matches – just 27% wins and as many as 36% losses, scoring an average of only 0.91 goals with an xG of 1.53. A key factor is Pau's possession advantage (52% vs 44%) and better chance conversion (10% vs 7%). Recent form for both teams is similar; however, home advantage and superior offensive statistics point towards a narrow victory for the hosts, although Pau's defensive weaknesses (1.55 goals conceded on average) may hinder securing a certain result.
Pau vs Boulogne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pau played Boulogne in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Pau: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Boulogne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pau scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Boulogne scores 1.05 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pau 55%, Boulogne 55%. Over 2.5: Pau 64%, Boulogne 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Pau has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.37. Pau: 13.4 shots per match, Boulogne: 11.7.
Match halves
Pau: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Boulogne: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Pau: 31-45+ (8 goals). Boulogne: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pau presents solid home form with a 36% win rate and only 18% of games without scoring at home. The hosts average 1.45 goals per match with an xG of 1.56, indicating attacking efficiency. Boulogne has a weaker record in away matches – just 27% wins and as many as 36% losses, scoring an average of only 0.91 goals with an xG of 1.53. A key factor is Pau's possession advantage (52% vs 44%) and better chance conversion (10% vs 7%). Recent form for both teams is similar; however, home advantage and superior offensive statistics point towards a narrow victory for the hosts, although Pau's defensive weaknesses (1.55 goals conceded on average) may hinder securing a certain result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pau | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pau is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pau · 1.4 pts / match - Boulogne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pau is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Pau · 1.05 goals / match - Boulogne
Pau scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Boulogne keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Boulogne scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pau
Over / Under - Boulogne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pau is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Pau · 0.68 pts / match - Boulogne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boulogne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pau
Boulogne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Pau | Liga | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.46 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pau 1 - 0 - 0 Boulogne. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pau vs Boulogne?
The Ligue 2 match finished Pau 1:2 Boulogne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pau vs Boulogne?
Pau score 1.50 goals per game on average and Boulogne 1.05. The Ligue 2 average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Pau's matches and 55% of Boulogne's.
What form are Pau and Boulogne in?
Over the last 5 games Pau have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Boulogne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pau vs Boulogne?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.