France - Ligue 2Stade Du Hameau Idron 1Data current as of 03 November 2026

Pau vs Nantes: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Pau vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Pau play Nantes in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Stade Du Hameau Idron 1.

Current form

Pau: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Nantes: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Pau scores 1.45 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nantes scores 1.09 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Pau 55%, Nantes 55%. Over 2.5: Pau 45%, Nantes 45%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Pau has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.41. Pau: 13.9 shots per match, Nantes: 13.6.

Match halves

Pau: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82. Nantes: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Pau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Nantes: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 2: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.98)
(3.35)
(2.29)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.45Goals scored / match1.09
PauNantes
1Goals conceded / match1.64
PauNantes
47%Average possession53%
PauNantes
4.45Shots on target / match3.55
PauNantes

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.91Shots per match13.55
PauNantes
4.45Shots on target3.55
PauNantes
10.5%Shot conversion8.1%
PauNantes
47%Possession53%
PauNantes
1.49xG for1.41
PauNantes
1.37xG against1.1
PauNantes

Shooting quality

Pau: BalancedNantes: Balanced
PauNantes
Accuracy (shots on target)32%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Pau is 200% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Pau · 1 pts / match - Nantes

Pau
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W18% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-3
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Nantes
WDLLD
Season result split
18% W27% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-6
0.82 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pau is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Pau · 1.09 goals / match - Nantes

Pau is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Pau · 1.64 goals / match - Nantes

Pau scoring profile: very strong

Pau scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Nantes scoring profile: very strong

Nantes scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

16Goals scored (season)12
PauNantes
11Goals conceded (season)18
PauNantes
2.45Average goals in match2.73
PauNantes
12Goals scored (last 5)5
PauNantes
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
PauNantes

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal64%
PauNantes
55%2 goals36%
PauNantes
18%3 goals9%
PauNantes
0%4 goals0%
PauNantes

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
PauNantes
18%2 goals36%
PauNantes
0%3 goals27%
PauNantes
0%4 goals9%
PauNantes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time36%
PauNantes
9%BTTS in both halves18%
PauNantes
18%Scored in both halves18%
PauNantes

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
PauNantes
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PauNantes
80%BTTS - last 560%
PauNantes

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time45%
PauNantes
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
PauNantes
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
PauNantes

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
PauNantes
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
PauNantes
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
PauNantes

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pau is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Pau · 1.18 pts / match - Nantes

Pau - half-time state
36% leading45% draw18% trailing
Nantes - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.18
PauNantes
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.55
PauNantes
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
PauNantes
1Average goals (1st half)1.09
PauNantes
64%Clean sheet before half-time64%
PauNantes
55%No goal before half-time55%
PauNantes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)1
PauNantes
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
PauNantes
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
PauNantes
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.64
PauNantes
36%Clean sheet after half-time18%
PauNantes
55%No goal after half-time64%
PauNantes

Pau - second-half results

45% W9% D45% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nantes - second-half results

27% W18% D55% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.40
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nantes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Pau
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nantes
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
0
5
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Nantes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

PauLigaNantes
Average goals in match▼ 2.452.69• 2.73
Both teams scored▼ 55%58%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 45%48%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 18%25%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%66%▼ 45%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%80%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Pau and Nantes play?

Pau face Nantes on 7 November 2026 in Ligue 2 at Stade Du Hameau Idron 1. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Pau vs Nantes?

Pau score 1.45 goals per game on average and Nantes 1.09. The Ligue 2 average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Pau's matches and 55% of Nantes's.

What form are Pau and Nantes in?

Over the last 5 games Pau have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Nantes 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pau vs Nantes?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pau vs Nantes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.