Pau vs Rodez: match statistics
This match shapes up to be a tight contest between two sides in similar shape. Pau displays a balanced home record with 44% wins and 44% losses; however, their last five fixtures have yielded just 1.2 points per match. Rodez struggles on the road (25% wins, 50% losses), yet their recent overall form outperforms the hosts (1.6 PPG). xG statistics point to a slight edge for Pau (1.38 vs 1.2), while the disparity in average goals conceded away by Rodez (1.75) compared to Pau at home (1.33) suggests an open affair. Given the relatively high draw rates for both squads and identical shot conversion (10% each), a sharing of the spoils seems the most probable outcome, although Pau's home advantage grants them a marginally higher probability of securing a win.
Pau vs Rodez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pau played Rodez in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Pau: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rodez: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pau scores 1.35 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Rodez scores 1.06 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pau 53%, Rodez 65%. Over 2.5: Pau 59%, Rodez 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Pau has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.35. Pau: 13.1 shots per match, Rodez: 12.1.
Match halves
Pau: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.47. Rodez: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Pau: 31-45+ (6 goals). Rodez: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match shapes up to be a tight contest between two sides in similar shape. Pau displays a balanced home record with 44% wins and 44% losses; however, their last five fixtures have yielded just 1.2 points per match. Rodez struggles on the road (25% wins, 50% losses), yet their recent overall form outperforms the hosts (1.6 PPG). xG statistics point to a slight edge for Pau (1.38 vs 1.2), while the disparity in average goals conceded away by Rodez (1.75) compared to Pau at home (1.33) suggests an open affair. Given the relatively high draw rates for both squads and identical shot conversion (10% each), a sharing of the spoils seems the most probable outcome, although Pau's home advantage grants them a marginally higher probability of securing a win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pau | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pau is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Pau · 1.06 goals / match - Rodez
Rodez is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Pau · 1.35 goals / match - Rodez
Pau scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Rodez scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pau
Over / Under - Rodez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pau
Rodez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Pau | Liga | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.50 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pau 1 - 0 - 0 Rodez. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pau vs Rodez?
The Ligue 2 match finished Pau 3:3 Rodez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pau vs Rodez?
Pau score 1.35 goals per game on average and Rodez 1.06. The Ligue 2 average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Pau's matches and 65% of Rodez's.
What form are Pau and Rodez in?
Over the last 5 games Pau have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rodez 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pau vs Rodez?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pau vs Rodez: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.