Pawłowice Śląskie vs SKRA Częstochowa: match statistics
Pawłowice Śląskie vs SKRA Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pawłowice Śląskie played SKRA Częstochowa in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Pawłowice Śląskie: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. SKRA Częstochowa: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pawłowice Śląskie scores 0.96 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. SKRA Częstochowa scores 2.00 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pawłowice Śląskie 46%, SKRA Częstochowa 75%. Over 2.5: Pawłowice Śląskie 67%, SKRA Częstochowa 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
SKRA Częstochowa has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.24. Pawłowice Śląskie: 5.8 shots per match, SKRA Częstochowa: 11.8.
Match halves
Pawłowice Śląskie: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. SKRA Częstochowa: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
Pawłowice Śląskie: 0-15 (23 goals). SKRA Częstochowa: 0-15 (40 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Skra Częstochowa is the favorite in this matchup: they have 48 goals scored this season versus Pawłowice's 23, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 10 goals while the hosts only 4. The visitors average 13 shots and 5.4 on target away, with an xG of 1.55, whereas Pawłowice at home record 9 shots and 4.11 on target with xG 1.35, indicating higher quality of Skra's offensive chances. Defensively the hosts concede 2.17 goals per home match on average, while Skra concedes 1.77 on the road, with hosts' FTS at 33% versus 23% for the visitors. The form gap confirms the advantage: Skra's last 5 matches show 3 wins and 2 draws (PPG 2.2), while Pawłowice have 1 win and 4 losses (PPG 0.6); therefore I back an away win for Skra.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high season rate of matches with both sides scoring: Pawłowice 67% and Skra 77%, versus the league BTTS average of 61%, which is a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. Over the season Pawłowice average 2.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, Skra average 1.54 scored and 1.77 conceded; their xG are 1.62 (Pawłowice) vs 1.55 (Skra), and xG against 1.55 and 1.41, so chance-creation potential is similar. The key counterargument is Pawłowice’s form in the last 5 matches: only 20% BTTS, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, while Skra in the last 5 have 60% BTTS, score 2.0 and concede 1.4 on average and have scored 10 goals in that run. Across the season Skra have 48 goals for and 41 against versus Pawłowice’s 23 for and 47 against, and both teams register a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (75% hosts, 62% visitors), which increases the chance of an exchange of goals. Considering the dominant seasonal signal (67% and 77%), Skra’s good scoring form and the league average of 3.24 goals, I assess the probability of BTTS = Yes at 68% vs 32%, therefore I back 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal indicators strongly favor Over 1.5: Pawłowice have 83% of matches above 1.5 goals and Skra 85%, an average ~84% chance of at least 2 goals. An xG-based model (1.62 xG for Pawłowice and 1.41 xG against Skrom; 1.55 xG for Skra and 1.55 xG against Pawłowice) yields an expected 1.52 goals for the home side and 1.55 for the away, total 3.07. Last 5 matches show Pawłowice scored 4 (0.8 per game) and conceded 11 (2.2 per game), while Skra scored 10 (2.0 per game) and conceded 7 (1.4 per game), suggesting open, goal-filled matches. Additionally BTTS is 67% for Pawłowice and 77% for Skra, and average on-target shots are 5.67 vs 5.4, supporting a both-teams-to-score scenario. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I recommend Over), because the high seasonal share >1.5 (83% and 85%), xG=3.07 and Skra’s form provide more edge than lines at 2.5 or 3.5 (Over 2.5 also makes sense with ~70% probability but is less certain).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pawłowice led at half-time in 50% of matches (2 of 4) and average 1.25 goals by the break, whereas Skra averages only 0.33 goals by half-time and has never led at the break (0%). The season-long home goal average is 2.33 versus 1.54 for away sides, and the home side has a 58% win rate this season compared to Skra’s 31%, indicating a clear overall advantage for Pawłowice. xG slightly favors the hosts (1.62 vs 1.55), and their shot conversion rate is higher (18% vs 15%), which increases the likelihood of holding a lead. Given the hosts average 2.0 points at half-time and frequently turn leads into wins, the most likely scenario is a half-time lead and a full-time win for the home side (1/1). Despite Skra’s good form in the last five matches (60% wins), I also see meaningful chances for a draw as a backup outcome (X/1 and X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pawłowice Śląskie | SKRA Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SKRA Częstochowa is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pawłowice Śląskie · 2.6 pts / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SKRA Częstochowa is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Pawłowice Śląskie · 2 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - Pawłowice Śląskie · 1.71 goals / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Pawłowice Śląskie scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while SKRA Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
SKRA Częstochowa scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Pawłowice Śląskie keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pawłowice Śląskie
Over / Under - SKRA Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SKRA Częstochowa is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Pawłowice Śląskie · 1.13 pts / match - SKRA Częstochowa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pawłowice Śląskie - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
SKRA Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (36). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (40 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (35). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pawłowice Śląskie
SKRA Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Pawłowice Śląskie | Liga | SKRA Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.92 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 17% | 33% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▼ 13% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pawłowice Śląskie 0 - 1 - 0 SKRA Częstochowa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pawłowice Śląskie vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Pawłowice Śląskie 2:3 SKRA Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pawłowice Śląskie vs SKRA Częstochowa?
Pawłowice Śląskie score 0.96 goals per game on average and SKRA Częstochowa 2.00. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Pawłowice Śląskie's matches and 75% of SKRA Częstochowa's.
What form are Pawłowice Śląskie and SKRA Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Pawłowice Śląskie have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and SKRA Częstochowa 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pawłowice Śląskie vs SKRA Częstochowa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.