Paykan vs Esteghlal: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry with a higher likelihood of a draw scenario. Paykan in home matches shows poor offensive efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 56% of matches without a goal scored), but at the same time a solid defense (0.67 goals conceded per game, 44% clean sheets). Esteghlal away is characterized by a high draw percentage (67%), confirming their cautious approach in away fixtures. The visitors have better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.08 for the hosts), higher shot accuracy on target (4.0 vs 2.33), and better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG). However, the low scoring efficiency of both teams in recent matches (3 goals by Paykan and 4 goals by Esteghlal in the last 5 games) and the defensive solidity of both sides (1 goal conceded each in the last 5 matches) suggest a low tempo of play and a probable share of the points.
Paykan vs Esteghlal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paykan played Esteghlal in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Paykan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Esteghlal: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paykan scores 0.72 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Esteghlal scores 1.17 and concedes 0.72. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paykan 33%, Esteghlal 44%. Over 2.5: Paykan 22%, Esteghlal 28%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Esteghlal has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.14. Paykan: 4.9 shots per match, Esteghlal: 3.3.
Match halves
Paykan: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.22. Esteghlal: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Paykan: 16-30 (4 goals). Esteghlal: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry with a higher likelihood of a draw scenario. Paykan in home matches shows poor offensive efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 56% of matches without a goal scored), but at the same time a solid defense (0.67 goals conceded per game, 44% clean sheets). Esteghlal away is characterized by a high draw percentage (67%), confirming their cautious approach in away fixtures. The visitors have better xG statistics (1.51 vs 1.08 for the hosts), higher shot accuracy on target (4.0 vs 2.33), and better form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG). However, the low scoring efficiency of both teams in recent matches (3 goals by Paykan and 4 goals by Esteghlal in the last 5 games) and the defensive solidity of both sides (1 goal conceded each in the last 5 matches) suggest a low tempo of play and a probable share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paykan | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 1.63 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Paykan · 1.6 pts / match - Esteghlal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - Paykan · 1.17 goals / match - Esteghlal
Esteghlal is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Paykan · 0.72 goals / match - Esteghlal
Paykan scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Esteghlal scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Paykan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paykan
Over / Under - Esteghlal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paykan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paykan
Esteghlal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Paykan | Liga | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.61 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 39% | 43% | • 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Paykan 0 - 1 - 0 Esteghlal. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paykan vs Esteghlal?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Paykan 1:0 Esteghlal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Paykan vs Esteghlal?
Paykan score 0.72 goals per game on average and Esteghlal 1.17. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Paykan's matches and 44% of Esteghlal's.
What form are Paykan and Esteghlal in?
Over the last 5 games Paykan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Esteghlal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paykan vs Esteghlal?
The statistical background for Paykan vs Esteghlal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.