Paykan vs Sanat Naft: match statistics

Both teams have shown almost identical form in their last five matches: Paykan and Sanat Naft have each recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat, averaging 1.2 points per game. The hosts sit higher in the table, in 9th place compared with their opponents’ 14th position, and have scored 3 goals this season, while Sanat Naft have managed just 1. At the same time, both sides have conceded 4 goals, indicating a similar level of defensive organisation. The home and away records are exceptionally draw-heavy: each team has ended both of its available matches in that role in a goalless draw, scoring and conceding no goals. A low-scoring draw therefore appears the most likely outcome, although Paykan’s marginally greater attacking potential gives the hosts a slightly higher chance of winning than the visitors.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Sanat Naft averages no goals scored away from home and failed to score in 100% of such matches. In their last five games, both teams have recorded BTTS in only 20% of cases, while each averages just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. Paykan also have limited attacking output, averaging 0.5 goals at home, making a one-sided scoreline or a goalless draw the most likely outcomes. Additionally, the league BTTS average is only 31%, while the average total goals is 1.82, supporting a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Both teams have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last 5 matches, resulting in only 1.4 total goals per game. Each team’s matches have gone Over 2.5 goals in just 20% of their last five appearances, with an equally low 20% of games featuring both teams scoring. Sanat Naft have failed to score in their away data and have kept clean sheets in 100% of those matches, further limiting the prospects of an open game. The league as a whole is clearly low-scoring, averaging 1.82 goals, with only 23% of matches finishing Over 2.5. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals has very strong statistical support.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as both teams drew 60% of their last five matches and averaged 1.2 points per game over that sample. Paykan were level at the break in 80% of those matches, while Sanat Naft were level at half-time in 60%; at the same time, the hosts scored just 0.2 goals per game before the break, compared with 0.4 for the visitors. The teams’ recent matches produced an average of only 1.4 goals, with each side averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, limiting the likelihood of a decisive outcome. After the break, both teams drew in 80% of their last five appearances, while Sanat Naft kept a clean sheet in 100% of those matches. In addition, the league is highly defensive, averaging 1.82 goals per match, and both teams scored in only 31% of games, so a draw following a cautious first half has the strongest basis.