PEC Zwolle vs AZ: match statistics
AZ Alkmaar presents significantly higher form and team quality compared to PEC Zwolle. The hosts sit only in 13th place with a home goal difference of -4, winning just 50% of home matches and scoring an average of only 0.88 goals per game. Their recent form is very poor – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per match. AZ, on the other hand, ranks 5th, boasting much better offensive statistics (1.44 goals per away match, 5.89 shots on target) and an advantage in possession (55% vs 37%). The visitors are also in better form – 3 wins in the last 5 matches and 2 points per match, demonstrating their stability. The difference in xG values (1.78 for AZ vs 0.96 for Zwolle) and significantly higher efficiency in recent fixtures (13 goals in 5 matches) strongly favor the visitors.
PEC Zwolle vs AZ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PEC Zwolle played AZ in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
PEC Zwolle: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AZ: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
PEC Zwolle scores 1.22 and concedes 2.17 goals per match. AZ scores 1.88 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PEC Zwolle 61%, AZ 71%. Over 2.5: PEC Zwolle 61%, AZ 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 1.87 vs 0.95. PEC Zwolle: 8.2 shots per match, AZ: 16.9.
Match halves
PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. AZ: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
PEC Zwolle: 31-45+ (6 goals). AZ: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AZ Alkmaar presents significantly higher form and team quality compared to PEC Zwolle. The hosts sit only in 13th place with a home goal difference of -4, winning just 50% of home matches and scoring an average of only 0.88 goals per game. Their recent form is very poor – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per match. AZ, on the other hand, ranks 5th, boasting much better offensive statistics (1.44 goals per away match, 5.89 shots on target) and an advantage in possession (55% vs 37%). The visitors are also in better form – 3 wins in the last 5 matches and 2 points per match, demonstrating their stability. The difference in xG values (1.78 for AZ vs 0.96 for Zwolle) and significantly higher efficiency in recent fixtures (13 goals in 5 matches) strongly favor the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PEC Zwolle | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PEC Zwolle is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 0.8 pts / match - AZ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.88 goals / match - AZ
AZ is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.17 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.65 goals / match - AZ
PEC Zwolle scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
AZ scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
Over / Under - AZ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.65 pts / match - AZ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PEC Zwolle
AZ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PEC Zwolle | Liga | AZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 20% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▼ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 - 0 AZ. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs AZ?
The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 3:1 AZ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs AZ?
PEC Zwolle score 1.22 goals per game on average and AZ 1.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 61% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 71% of AZ's.
What form are PEC Zwolle and AZ in?
Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AZ 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs AZ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.