PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: match statistics
PEC Zwolle exhibits solid form at their home ground with a 46% win rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches. The hosts have remained unbeaten in their last five fixtures at home, registering four draws and one defeat, which points to defensive stability. NAC Breda has very poor away results – just 8% wins, 62% losses, and a disastrous goal difference of -17. The visitors fail to score in 54% of away matches, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per game. NAC's recent form (WWLDL) might be misleading, as the two wins likely occurred in home fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.16 vs 1.34), with PEC boasting a better chance conversion rate (12% vs 6%). Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' terrible away form, a PEC Zwolle victory is the most likely scenario.
PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PEC Zwolle played NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
PEC Zwolle: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. NAC Breda: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PEC Zwolle scores 1.33 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.04 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PEC Zwolle 70%, NAC Breda 48%. Over 2.5: PEC Zwolle 59%, NAC Breda 56%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.12. PEC Zwolle: 9.6 shots per match, NAC Breda: 13.6.
Match halves
PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.63. NAC Breda: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (9 goals). NAC Breda: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PEC Zwolle exhibits solid form at their home ground with a 46% win rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches. The hosts have remained unbeaten in their last five fixtures at home, registering four draws and one defeat, which points to defensive stability. NAC Breda has very poor away results – just 8% wins, 62% losses, and a disastrous goal difference of -17. The visitors fail to score in 54% of away matches, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per game. NAC's recent form (WWLDL) might be misleading, as the two wins likely occurred in home fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.16 vs 1.34), with PEC boasting a better chance conversion rate (12% vs 6%). Considering the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' terrible away form, a PEC Zwolle victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NAC Breda is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.4 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PEC Zwolle is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.04 goals / match - NAC Breda
NAC Breda is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.78 goals / match - NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PEC Zwolle is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 0.96 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PEC Zwolle | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.26 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 19% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 2:1 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
PEC Zwolle score 1.33 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.04. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 70% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 48% of NAC Breda's.
What form are PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The statistical background for PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.