PEC Zwolle vs Telstar: match statistics
PEC Zwolle displays solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive streak of four consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.11 goals per home match, and their xG advantage (1.00 vs 0.78 for Telstar) suggests superior quality of chances created. Telstar has a very poor away form with just a 22% win rate and as many as 44% losses, having suffered four defeats in their last five away matches. The visitors struggle with efficiency – 44% of their away matches end without a goal scored, and their shot conversion rate is only 7%. Considering the hosts' advantage in direct form comparison as well as home and away statistics, PEC Zwolle has a clear edge, although Telstar is capable of drawing (33% draws away), which justifies a moderate probability of a points split.
PEC Zwolle vs Telstar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PEC Zwolle played Telstar in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
PEC Zwolle: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Telstar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
PEC Zwolle scores 1.30 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. Telstar scores 1.20 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PEC Zwolle 65%, Telstar 60%. Over 2.5: PEC Zwolle 65%, Telstar 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Telstar has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.00. PEC Zwolle: 8.5 shots per match, Telstar: 12.9.
Match halves
PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55. Telstar: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
PEC Zwolle: 0-15 (7 goals). Telstar: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PEC Zwolle displays solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive streak of four consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.11 goals per home match, and their xG advantage (1.00 vs 0.78 for Telstar) suggests superior quality of chances created. Telstar has a very poor away form with just a 22% win rate and as many as 44% losses, having suffered four defeats in their last five away matches. The visitors struggle with efficiency – 44% of their away matches end without a goal scored, and their shot conversion rate is only 7%. Considering the hosts' advantage in direct form comparison as well as home and away statistics, PEC Zwolle has a clear edge, although Telstar is capable of drawing (33% draws away), which justifies a moderate probability of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PEC Zwolle | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PEC Zwolle is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1 pts / match - Telstar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PEC Zwolle is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.2 goals / match - Telstar
Telstar is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.1 goals / match - PEC Zwolle · 1.65 goals / match - Telstar
PEC Zwolle scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Telstar scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PEC Zwolle
Over / Under - Telstar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PEC Zwolle is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - PEC Zwolle · 1 pts / match - Telstar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PEC Zwolle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PEC Zwolle | Liga | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PEC Zwolle 1 - 0 - 0 Telstar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PEC Zwolle vs Telstar?
The Eredivisie match finished PEC Zwolle 4:1 Telstar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PEC Zwolle vs Telstar?
PEC Zwolle score 1.30 goals per game on average and Telstar 1.20. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 65% of PEC Zwolle's matches and 60% of Telstar's.
What form are PEC Zwolle and Telstar in?
Over the last 5 games PEC Zwolle have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Telstar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PEC Zwolle vs Telstar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PEC Zwolle vs Telstar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.