Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn: match statistics

Pelikan Łowicz are unbeaten in their three matches this season and have collected 13 points from their last five games, recording four wins and one draw. Troszyn have lost all of their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals and conceding as many as 14. At home, Pelikan average 2.5 goals and 5.5 shots on target per match, while Troszyn score only 0.5 goals per away game and fail to find the net in 50% of their matches. The hosts also create significantly more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.72 compared to the visitors’ 1.08, while Troszyn’s defence concedes 3 goals per away match. Pelikan have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, but Troszyn’s extremely poor finishing and losing streak strongly point towards a convincing home victory.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive: in their last five matches, both teams saw this outcome in 60% of games, while the league average stands at 67%. Pelikan have yet to keep a single clean sheet this season and have conceded as many as 4.0 goals per match, giving Troszyn a realistic chance to break through. However, the visitors are the weakest component of this market, scoring just 0.5 goals per match over the season and failing to score in 50% of their appearances. On the other hand, Troszyn’s defence allows opponents an average of 3.0 goals and 1.62 xG over their last five matches, while Pelikan are currently generating 1.71 xG and scoring 1.8 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for the home side and at least one goal for the visitors, although Troszyn’s low finishing efficiency limits confidence in the pick.

Pelikan have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five matches, while Troszyn conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game over the same period, clearly strengthening the case for at least two goals. The hosts created chances worth an average of 1.71 xG, while the visitors’ xG conceded stood at 1.62, meaning Pelikan alone have realistic potential to score around 2 goals. Troszyn have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings, although Pelikan allowed opponents 1.44 xG, giving the visitors a chance to score once. In the last five matches involving both teams, Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score landed 60% of the time, while the league-wide average is a high 3.33 goals per match. The strongest pick remains Over 1.5 goals, as Pelikan’s offensive advantage over Troszyn’s weak defence should be enough to clear this safer line.

The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time and a Pelikan win after 90 minutes: in their last five matches, the hosts were level at the break in 100% of cases and subsequently won the second half in 100% of those games. Pelikan are in excellent form, collecting 13 points from their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding just 1.0, while Troszyn have lost all five matches, averaging only 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. The visitors were trailing at half-time in 100% of their recent matches, but Pelikan’s cautious starts, with an average of just 0.33 goals scored before the break, increase the likelihood of a level score after 45 minutes. After the interval, the hosts have recently averaged 1.67 goals, compared with just 0.25 for Troszyn, which strongly supports the scenario of Pelikan taking control in the second half. An additional argument is the hosts’ advantage in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.43, compared with 1.08 for Troszyn.