Peñarol vs Central Español: match statistics
Peñarol vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol played Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Campeón del Siglo. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Peñarol: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Central Español: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.74 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Central Español scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 52%, Central Español 48%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 48%, Central Español 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.24. Peñarol: 14.5 shots per match, Central Español: 9.7.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.96. Central Español: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (13 goals). Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.36 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol go into the match as league leaders and are in excellent form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five games, winning four and suffering no defeats. Over the same period, Central Español have scored just 2 goals, recorded only one victory and drawn three times, which clearly limits their attacking potential. At home, the hosts average 2.00 goals with an xG of 1.82, register 6.31 shots on target per match and enjoy 52% possession, while the visitors score 1.09 goals away from home, generate an xG of 1.26 and retain possession for 38% of the time. Peñarol’s advantage is also evident in Central Español’s defensive vulnerability: the visitors allow an xG of 1.89 away from home and lose 36% of their matches, although their 55% clean-sheet rate increases the likelihood of a more closely contested game. The hosts have conceded only 2 goals in their last five matches, making a controlled Peñarol victory the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes comes from Central Español’s recent form: they have scored only 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while BTTS - Yes occurred in just 20% of those fixtures. Peñarol are also in a very strong defensive phase: they have conceded 2 goals in their last five league matches, an average of 0.4, with Goal/Goal occurring in 40% of games. Across the entire season, Central Español’s BTTS rate stands at 36%, well below the league average of 51%, while as many as 55% of their matches have ended with a clean sheet. The hosts should have enough attacking threat, having recently scored 2.6 goals per match, but the visitors’ poor finishing increases the probability of a result in which at least one team fails to score. Although Central Español have recorded an average xG of 1.07 over their last five matches, comparing this figure with Peñarol’s current defensive strength points more strongly towards a BTTS - No scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 75% of Peñarol’s matches and 82% of Central Español’s fixtures. Central Español have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while Peñarol conceded only 0.4 goals per match over the same period. The hosts are in significantly better goalscoring form, averaging 2.6 goals across their last five outings, but their opponents also conceded just 2 goals during that stretch. The projected goal totals of 1.65 for Peñarol and 0.60 for the visitors add up to 2.25, while the season percentages of matches finishing Over 3.5 goals stand at just 25% and 18%, clearly strengthening the case for Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Peñarol are clearly stronger in their current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.4. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of those matches, while Central Español have not led at half-time in any of their games and failed to score in the first half of their last five appearances. Peñarol’s advantage should increase after the interval, as they average 1.0 goals in the second half compared with the visitors’ 0.55, while their second-half goal difference stands at +6 versus -3 for their opponents. Over the season as a whole, the hosts have also won more often, 50% to 36%, and earned more points per match, 1.75 compared with 1.36. Although Central Español have kept a clean sheet in 55% of their league matches this season, their recent attacking output has been very poor, making Peñarol to lead at half-time and win at full-time the most likely HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.2 pts / match - Central Español
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.22 goals / match - Central Español
Peñarol is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.13 goals / match - Central Español
Peñarol scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Central Español scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peñarol
Over / Under - Central Español
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.04 pts / match - Central Español
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Central Español
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.36 | • 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Peñarol 0 - 0 - 2 Central Español. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Central Español?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 2:1 Central Español. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Central Español?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0, Central Español won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Central Español?
Peñarol score 1.74 goals per game on average and Central Español 1.22. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's matches and 48% of Central Español's.
What form are Peñarol and Central Español in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Central Español 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Central Español?
The statistical background for Peñarol vs Central Español — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.