Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games, while Peñarol have managed only 1.0 point. The visitors boast an impressive 100% win rate in away matches (2/2) and are unbeaten in their last five outings (4 wins, 1 draw). Deportivo Maldonado also demonstrate superiority in offensive statistics, with an average of 4 goals per away game and a higher xG (1.46 vs 0.7), suggesting better quality of chances created. Peñarol, despite a win in their last home match, have a negative overall sequence (draw-loss-draw-win-loss) and a lower chance conversion rate. Considering all factors, Deportivo Maldonado have a genuine chance of winning, although Peñarol's experience as hosts cannot be entirely discounted.
Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol play Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 23 February 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.52 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.71 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 52%, Deportivo Maldonado 62%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 43%, Deportivo Maldonado 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.43. Peñarol: 14.8 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 11.7.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.90. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (12 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Deportivo Maldonado are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games, while Peñarol have managed only 1.0 point. The visitors boast an impressive 100% win rate in away matches (2/2) and are unbeaten in their last five outings (4 wins, 1 draw). Deportivo Maldonado also demonstrate superiority in offensive statistics, with an average of 4 goals per away game and a higher xG (1.46 vs 0.7), suggesting better quality of chances created. Peñarol, despite a win in their last home match, have a negative overall sequence (draw-loss-draw-win-loss) and a lower chance conversion rate. Considering all factors, Deportivo Maldonado have a genuine chance of winning, although Peñarol's experience as hosts cannot be entirely discounted.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.71 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Peñarol is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Peñarol scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Peñarol
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.86 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 2:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Peñarol score 1.52 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.71. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's matches and 62% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Peñarol and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.