Peñarol vs Racing: match statistics
Peñarol vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol play Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 30 March 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Racing: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.52 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Racing scores 1.30 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 52%, Racing 55%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 43%, Racing 30%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.61. Peñarol: 14.8 shots per match, Racing: 13.2.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.90. Racing: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (12 goals). Racing: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Peñarol have a clear attacking edge at home (avg 2.25 goals and 13.25 shots per match), higher possession (57%) and better recent form (wdwww, 2.6 PPG). Racing are defensively solid away (0.67 goals conceded, 33% clean sheets) and capable of taking points on the road, which limits the home superiority. The xG difference is small (Peñarol 1.57 vs Racing 1.45), indicating similar offensive potential. Considering Peñarol’s finishing and form at home and Racing’s moderate resilience, I predict a home win while acknowledging a realistic draw possibility.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.4 pts / match - Racing
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Peñarol · 1.3 goals / match - Racing
Racing is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Peñarol · 0.8 goals / match - Racing
Peñarol scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Racing scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Peñarol
Over / Under — Racing
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.7 pts / match - Racing
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Racing
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Peñarol 1 - 1 - 1 Racing. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Racing?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 1:2 Racing. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Racing?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1, Racing won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Racing?
Peñarol score 1.52 goals per game on average and Racing 1.30. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's matches and 55% of Racing's.
What form are Peñarol and Racing in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Racing 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Racing?
The statistical background for Peñarol vs Racing — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.