Peñarol vs Racing: match statistics
Peñarol vs Racing: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peñarol played Racing in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Peñarol: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Racing: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peñarol scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Racing scores 1.75 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peñarol 63%, Racing 50%. Over 2.5: Peñarol 50%, Racing 38%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Racing has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.59. Peñarol: 15.1 shots per match, Racing: 13.1.
Match halves
Peñarol: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.88. Racing: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Peñarol: 76-90+ (6 goals). Racing: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol have a clear attacking edge at home (avg 2.25 goals and 13.25 shots per match), higher possession (57%) and better recent form (wdwww, 2.6 PPG). Racing are defensively solid away (0.67 goals conceded, 33% clean sheets) and capable of taking points on the road, which limits the home superiority. The xG difference is small (Peñarol 1.57 vs Racing 1.45), indicating similar offensive potential. Considering Peñarol’s finishing and form at home and Racing’s moderate resilience, I predict a home win while acknowledging a realistic draw possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats indicate a slight lean to No: Peñarol at home has a high clean sheet rate (60%) and low conceded avg in last 5 (0.4), suggesting home defensive solidity. Racing’s seasonal BTTS is 67%, but their scoring form in last 5 is weaker (avg 0.8) with only 20% BTTS in that period, reducing reliability of consistent scoring. The league shows high clean sheet incidence (63%) and moderate BTTS 45%, which supports one team keeping a clean sheet. Considering home defensive edge, visitors’ mediocre recent output and league context, NO appears more justified.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sum of expected xG (home 1.72 vs away xG_against 1.34 and vice versa) indicates high goal potential for both teams, yielding an expected total of ~2.75 goals. Peñarol has strong shooting stats and high finishing form over the last 5 matches, while Racing posts solid xG and frequent BTTS (67% seasonally). Both teams show high over 0.5 percentages and moderate over 1.5 rates this season, supporting the minimum-two-goals theory. Shot counts and conversion rates suggest effective attacks, while defenses are not dominant enough to confidently force an under. The strongest signal is over 1.5, hence the recommendation to play over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the likeliest scenario is a half-time draw and a home win at full-time. Racing’s data show 100% drawing at half-time (drawingAtHT_away 100%), while Peñarol has strong second-half metrics: over0.5_2hg_home 100% and significant goals in the final 15 minutes. Peñarol posts better xG, more shots and excellent form (last5: wdwww), suggesting they take the initiative after the break. Considering the home side’s second-half advantage and the opponent’s tendency for half-time draws, HT/FT X/1 is the strongest signal from the available data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peñarol | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Peñarol · 0.88 goals / match - Racing
Peñarol scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Racing scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peñarol
Over / Under - Racing
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Peñarol · 1.38 pts / match - Racing
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Racing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peñarol
Racing
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Peñarol | Liga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.32 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Peñarol 1 - 0 - 1 Racing. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peñarol vs Racing?
The Primera División match finished Peñarol 1:2 Racing. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Racing?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 1, Racing won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Racing?
Peñarol score 1.75 goals per game on average and Racing 1.75. The Primera División average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Peñarol's matches and 50% of Racing's.
What form are Peñarol and Racing in?
Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Racing 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Racing?
The statistical background for Peñarol vs Racing — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.