Pendikspor vs Van BB: match statistics

Pendikspor have a clear home advantage: they have lost none of their 4 home matches, while Van BB have won none of their 4 away games. In the last 5 rounds, the hosts have earned 6 points, compared with just 3 for the visitors; Van BB have conceded 9 goals during that period, against 5 by Pendikspor. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.71 and register 5.25 shots on target per match, while the visitors' away figures stand at 1.18 and 3.25, respectively. The defensive gap is even more apparent in goals conceded: Pendikspor average 1 goal conceded at home, while Van BB concede 2.5 away. However, a draw must also be considered, as 3 of Pendikspor's 4 home matches have ended level.

Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, and both teams scored in 50% of Pendikspor’s matches and 75% of Van BB’s games. The visitors concede an average of 2.5 goals per game this season and 1.8 in their last five matches, giving the hosts a good chance to get on the scoresheet. Van BB also have attacking credentials: they score an average of 1.0 goal per game, while Pendikspor concede an average of 1.75. Both teams scored in 60% of the two sides’ last five matches, so BTTS - Yes has a slight edge. However, Pendikspor failed to score in 50% of their matches, and both teams have averaged just 0.8 goals per game recently, which limits the confidence in this pick.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in all previous matches involving the two teams, although this streak should be treated with caution given the small sample size. Pendikspor concede an average of 1.75 goals, while Van BB concede 2.5, so both defenses give opponents opportunities to score. At the same time, the teams score 1.0 goal per match each, and their average xG figures are 1.14 and 1.18, respectively, which provides a less compelling basis for backing higher goal lines. With a forecast of 2.60 goals, Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge than the 2.5 line, which has been surpassed in 25% of the home team's matches and 75% of the away team's matches.

A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: in their last five matches, Pendikspor were level at the break three times and Van BB twice; the visitors did not lead at any point during this period. Both teams have struggled to score before half-time—in those five matches, the hosts failed to find the net in three, and the visitors in four. After the break, Pendikspor could gain the upper hand, as Van BB concede an average of 1.25 goals in second halves, while the hosts have won this period of play in 50% of their matches so far. The case for a home win is also supported by the teams’ last-five-match records: Pendikspor averaged 1.2 points per game compared with the visitors’ 0.6, while Van BB conceded an average of 1.8 goals. However, the X/1 scenario is not certain, as Pendikspor score an average of just 0.5 goals after the break, so a draw at full-time remains a close alternative.