Penybont vs Airbus UK: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Penybont vs Airbus UK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont play Airbus UK in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 September 2026.
Current form
Penybont: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Airbus UK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Airbus UK scores 1.70 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 60%, Airbus UK 30%. Over 2.5: Penybont 60%, Airbus UK 40%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Airbus UK has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.42. Penybont: 11.0 shots per match, Airbus UK: 13.8.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 70%, second-half goals 0.50. Airbus UK: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 31-45+ (10 goals). Airbus UK: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Airbus UK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Penybont · 1.8 pts / match - Airbus UK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Penybont · 1.7 goals / match - Airbus UK
Penybont is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Penybont · 1.5 goals / match - Airbus UK
Penybont scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Airbus UK keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Airbus UK scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Airbus UK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.4 pts / match - Penybont · 1.4 pts / match - Airbus UK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 70% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Airbus UK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Airbus UK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Airbus UK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.34 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Penybont and Airbus UK play?
Penybont face Airbus UK on 26 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Airbus UK?
Penybont score 2.00 goals per game on average and Airbus UK 1.70. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Penybont's matches and 30% of Airbus UK's.
What form are Penybont and Airbus UK in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Airbus UK 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Airbus UK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.