Penybont vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Penybont played Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 26 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Penybont: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Briton Ferry: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Penybont scores 1.74 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.37 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Penybont 42%, Briton Ferry 58%. Over 2.5: Penybont 53%, Briton Ferry 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Penybont has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.28. Penybont: 11.0 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 9.6.

Match halves

Penybont: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.16. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Penybont: 76-90+ (9 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
PenybontBriton Ferry
8Shots15
PenybontBriton Ferry
2Shots on target7
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.06xG2.08
PenybontBriton Ferry
4Corners7
PenybontBriton Ferry
55Dangerous attacks88
PenybontBriton Ferry
9Fouls10
PenybontBriton Ferry
5Cards3
PenybontBriton Ferry

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PenybontBriton Ferry
1.74Goals scored / match1.37
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.53Goals conceded / match1.89
PenybontBriton Ferry
51%Average possession47%
PenybontBriton Ferry
4.37Shots on target / match4
PenybontBriton Ferry

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match9.58
PenybontBriton Ferry
4.37Shots on target4
PenybontBriton Ferry
15.8%Shot conversion14.3%
PenybontBriton Ferry
51%Possession47%
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.56xG for1.28
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.29xG against1.65
PenybontBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Penybont: Efficient finishingBriton Ferry: Counter-attacking
PenybontBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)40%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Penybont is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Penybont · 1 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont
WLWLD
Season result split
53% W16% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-6
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Briton Ferry
WDLDL
Season result split
21% W32% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-9
0.95 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Penybont is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.74 goals / match - Penybont · 1.37 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Penybont · 1.89 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont scoring profile: very strong

Penybont scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: strong

Briton Ferry scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).

33Goals scored (season)26
PenybontBriton Ferry
29Goals conceded (season)36
PenybontBriton Ferry
3.26Average goals in match3.26
PenybontBriton Ferry
11Goals scored (last 5)8
PenybontBriton Ferry
14Goals conceded (last 5)10
PenybontBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal74%
PenybontBriton Ferry
53%2 goals47%
PenybontBriton Ferry
26%3 goals11%
PenybontBriton Ferry
21%4 goals5%
PenybontBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal79%
PenybontBriton Ferry
37%2 goals68%
PenybontBriton Ferry
21%3 goals21%
PenybontBriton Ferry
16%4 goals16%
PenybontBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time42%
PenybontBriton Ferry
16%BTTS in both halves16%
PenybontBriton Ferry
26%Scored in both halves32%
PenybontBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
PenybontBriton Ferry
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
PenybontBriton Ferry
80%BTTS - last 560%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
PenybontBriton Ferry
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
PenybontBriton Ferry
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
PenybontBriton Ferry

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
PenybontBriton Ferry
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PenybontBriton Ferry
37%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Briton Ferry is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Penybont · 1.42 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Penybont - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
32% leading47% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.42
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.84
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.68
PenybontBriton Ferry
63%Clean sheet before half-time42%
PenybontBriton Ferry
63%No goal before half-time32%
PenybontBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1
PenybontBriton Ferry
1.16Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
PenybontBriton Ferry
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
PenybontBriton Ferry
2Average goals (2nd half)1.58
PenybontBriton Ferry
42%Clean sheet after half-time42%
PenybontBriton Ferry
42%No goal after half-time63%
PenybontBriton Ferry

Penybont - second-half results

47% W26% R26% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

21% W37% R42% P
27
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Penybont - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match2.03.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Penybont
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
1
6
16-30
6
2
31-45
8
8
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
4
7
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Penybont

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

PenybontLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match 3.263.14 3.26
Both teams scored 42%52% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%59% 63%
Clean sheets 37%28% 21%
Goal before half-time 58%77% 84%
Goal after half-time 79%74% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PenybontRed cardChris Venables
  2. PenybontGoalJames Crole
  3. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Rio DyerOff: Jack Fanning
  4. Briton FerryYellow cardMitchell Bates
  5. Briton FerryYellow cardOllie Anderson
  6. PenybontYellow cardBilly Borge
  7. PenybontYellow cardOwen Pritchard
  8. Briton FerryGoalAlex Gammond
  9. PenybontYellow cardKane Owen
  10. PenybontSubstitutionOn: Mark LittleOff: Kai Ludvigsen
  11. Briton FerryYellow cardKeiran Williams
  12. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Dylan PackerOff: Keiran Williams
  13. PenybontSubstitutionOn: Noah DaleyOff: James Crole
  14. Briton FerrySubstitutionOn: Kristian EvansOff: Ryan George

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Penybont 0 - 1 - 0 Briton Ferry. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC
0 : 0
Penybont FC

FAQ

What was the result of Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 1:1 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Penybont score 1.74 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.37. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Penybont's matches and 58% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Penybont and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Briton Ferry 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Penybont vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.