Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched clash between the two teams. Penybont sits in 3rd place and holds home advantage, yet their recent form is concerning – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a streak of 4 draws. Caernarfon Town, in 4th position, displays better away form (45% away wins) and higher scoring efficiency (1.91 goals on average per away match vs 1.36 for the hosts at home). A key factor is the identical average possession (52%) and similar xG values, suggesting a balance of power. Considering Penybont's high number of home draws (27%) and Caernarfon's away draws (36%), as well as the hosts' recent streak of draws, a sharing of points appears to be the most probable scenario.
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont play Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Caernarfon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.21 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Caernarfon Town scores 1.75 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 38%, Caernarfon Town 63%. Over 2.5: Penybont 41%, Caernarfon Town 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Caernarfon Town has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.40. Penybont: 10.3 shots per match, Caernarfon Town: 12.4.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Caernarfon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). Caernarfon Town: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched clash between the two teams. Penybont sits in 3rd place and holds home advantage, yet their recent form is concerning – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a streak of 4 draws. Caernarfon Town, in 4th position, displays better away form (45% away wins) and higher scoring efficiency (1.91 goals on average per away match vs 1.36 for the hosts at home). A key factor is the identical average possession (52%) and similar xG values, suggesting a balance of power. Considering Penybont's high number of home draws (27%) and Caernarfon's away draws (36%), as well as the hosts' recent streak of draws, a sharing of points appears to be the most probable scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Caernarfon Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Penybont · 1.2 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Penybont · 1.75 goals / match - Caernarfon Town
Penybont scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Penybont
Over / Under — Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Penybont · 1.13 pts / match - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.87 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Penybont 1 - 0 - 2 Caernarfon Town. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 0:0 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Penybont won 1, Caernarfon Town won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont score 1.21 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 1.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Penybont's matches and 63% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Penybont and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.