Penybont vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Penybont occupies a higher table position (3rd place) and holds a solid home record with 50% home wins, yet their recent form raises concerns – only 1 win in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG). Cardiff MU presents itself as a tough away opponent with a high draw percentage (50% in away matches) and better scoring efficiency (1.7 goals on average per away match vs 1.4 for Penybont at home). A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.67 vs 1.32), suggesting better quality of chances created, but Cardiff MU rarely loses away (20% losses). Given Penybont's weaker form in recent weeks and Cardiff MU's tendency to draw on the road, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
Penybont vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 13 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Penybont: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cardiff MU: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.67 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 1.52 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 43%, Cardiff MU 67%. Over 2.5: Penybont 48%, Cardiff MU 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. Penybont: 10.9 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 10.9.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.10. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (9 goals). Cardiff MU: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont occupies a higher table position (3rd place) and holds a solid home record with 50% home wins, yet their recent form raises concerns – only 1 win in the last 5 matches (1.2 PPG). Cardiff MU presents itself as a tough away opponent with a high draw percentage (50% in away matches) and better scoring efficiency (1.7 goals on average per away match vs 1.4 for Penybont at home). A key factor is the hosts' xG advantage (1.67 vs 1.32), suggesting better quality of chances created, but Cardiff MU rarely loses away (20% losses). Given Penybont's weaker form in recent weeks and Cardiff MU's tendency to draw on the road, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Penybont · 1.2 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Penybont · 1.52 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Penybont is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Penybont · 1.67 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Penybont scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Penybont · 1.05 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.10 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Penybont 1 - 0 - 0 Cardiff MU. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 1:1 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
Penybont score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.52. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Penybont's matches and 67% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Penybont and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cardiff MU 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
The statistical background for Penybont vs Cardiff MU — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.