Penybont vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, while Penybont are in 3rd position with 11 victories. Connah's Quay boast an impressive away win percentage (58%) and a superior goal difference (51:28 vs 36:37). The last five matches confirm the visitors' advantage – averaging 1.8 points per game and an unbeaten run (2W-3D) compared to the hosts' weaker form (1.2 points, 1W-3D-1L). Penybont have been struggling in recent home fixtures, evident in a run of 4 consecutive draws. Connah's Quay fail to score less frequently on the road (17% vs 33% for the hosts at home) and possess a higher conversion rate (15% vs 12%), giving them a genuine chance of victory. Considering all indicators, the away side are the favourites for this encounter.
Penybont vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Penybont: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Connah's Quay: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.50 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.13 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 42%, Connah's Quay 67%. Over 2.5: Penybont 46%, Connah's Quay 75%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.51. Penybont: 10.7 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 13.5.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.00. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (10 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay are displaying significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with a record of 14 wins, while Penybont are in 3rd position with 11 victories. Connah's Quay boast an impressive away win percentage (58%) and a superior goal difference (51:28 vs 36:37). The last five matches confirm the visitors' advantage – averaging 1.8 points per game and an unbeaten run (2W-3D) compared to the hosts' weaker form (1.2 points, 1W-3D-1L). Penybont have been struggling in recent home fixtures, evident in a run of 4 consecutive draws. Connah's Quay fail to score less frequently on the road (17% vs 33% for the hosts at home) and possess a higher conversion rate (15% vs 12%), giving them a genuine chance of victory. Considering all indicators, the away side are the favourites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Penybont · 1.8 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Penybont · 2.13 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Penybont · 1.17 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Penybont scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Penybont · 1.75 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.04 | 3.05 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Penybont 0 - 0 - 2 Connah's Quay. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 0:0 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Penybont won 0, Connah's Quay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
Penybont score 1.50 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.13. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Penybont's matches and 67% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Penybont and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Penybont vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.