Penybont vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics
Penybont vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont play Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 18:25. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Haverfordwest County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.21 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Haverfordwest County scores 1.44 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 38%, Haverfordwest County 38%. Over 2.5: Penybont 41%, Haverfordwest County 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Haverfordwest County has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. Penybont: 10.3 shots per match, Haverfordwest County: 11.6.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back a Haverfordwest win. In the last 5 matches the visitors have a 3-1-1 record and scored 9 goals, while Penybont in their last 5 are 0-2-3 with only 1 goal; points per game in that period are 2.0 versus 0.4. At home Penybont average 1.00 goals scored and concede 0.88 per match, with xG 1.57 from 10.56 shots and 4 on target, indicating they create decent chances. Haverfordwest away average 1.06 goals scored and concede 1.41, have xG 1.32 from 10 shots per match and 4 on target, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 11% versus 9% for the hosts. Despite the hosts having a slightly better xG and higher league position (Penybont 3rd, Haverfordwest 9th), the visitors’ superior form and efficiency (9 goals vs 1 in the last 5) and a lower share of matches without a goal for the visitors (35% vs 44%) determine my prediction.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haverfordwest County is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Penybont · 2 pts / match - Haverfordwest County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haverfordwest County is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Penybont · 1.44 goals / match - Haverfordwest County
Haverfordwest County is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Penybont · 1.35 goals / match - Haverfordwest County
Penybont scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
Haverfordwest County scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Penybont
Over / Under — Haverfordwest County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Haverfordwest County is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Penybont · 1.24 pts / match - Haverfordwest County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Haverfordwest County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.87 | • 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Penybont 2 - 0 - 0 Haverfordwest County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Haverfordwest County?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 2:0 Haverfordwest County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Haverfordwest County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Penybont won 2, Haverfordwest County won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Haverfordwest County?
Penybont score 1.21 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Penybont's matches and 38% of Haverfordwest County's.
What form are Penybont and Haverfordwest County in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Haverfordwest County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.