Penybont vs The New Saints: match statistics
The New Saints are the clear favorites in this fixture, sitting at the top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. Their away form is outstanding - a 77% win rate on the road, with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.69 conceded per match. Penybont is going through a slump in form, earning just 0.4 PPG in their last five matches with a run of draw-loss-draw-loss-loss. The gap in quality between the two teams is immense - The New Saints boast vastly superior statistics in all aspects of the game, including ball possession (64% vs 50%), shooting efficiency (16% vs 12%), and xG (1.92 vs 1.59). The hosts have failed to win any of their last five matches, which further confirms the visitors' dominance. Although Penybont has a decent home record (38% win rate), the sheer class of The New Saints, who concede goals in only 46% of their away games, should seal the result in their favor.
Penybont vs The New Saints: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont played The New Saints in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Penybont: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. The New Saints: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.37 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. The New Saints scores 2.67 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 41%, The New Saints 41%. Over 2.5: Penybont 44%, The New Saints 67%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
The New Saints has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.43. Penybont: 10.2 shots per match, The New Saints: 16.7.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.93. The New Saints: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.56.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). The New Saints: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 5.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints are the clear favorites in this fixture, sitting at the top of the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season. Their away form is outstanding - a 77% win rate on the road, with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.69 conceded per match. Penybont is going through a slump in form, earning just 0.4 PPG in their last five matches with a run of draw-loss-draw-loss-loss. The gap in quality between the two teams is immense - The New Saints boast vastly superior statistics in all aspects of the game, including ball possession (64% vs 50%), shooting efficiency (16% vs 12%), and xG (1.92 vs 1.59). The hosts have failed to win any of their last five matches, which further confirms the visitors' dominance. Although Penybont has a decent home record (38% win rate), the sheer class of The New Saints, who concede goals in only 46% of their away games, should seal the result in their favor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
The New Saints is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Penybont · 3 pts / match - The New Saints
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Penybont · 2.67 goals / match - The New Saints
The New Saints is 95% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Penybont · 0.78 goals / match - The New Saints
Penybont scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).
The New Saints scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Penybont
Over / Under - The New Saints
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The New Saints is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Penybont · 2.15 pts / match - The New Saints
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
The New Saints
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 29% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Penybont 0 - 0 - 3 The New Saints. Average goals 5.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs The New Saints?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 1:2 The New Saints. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and The New Saints?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Penybont won 0, The New Saints won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs The New Saints?
Penybont score 1.37 goals per game on average and The New Saints 2.67. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Penybont's matches and 41% of The New Saints's.
What form are Penybont and The New Saints in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and The New Saints 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs The New Saints?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.