Pérez Zeledón vs San Carlos: match statistics

Pérez Zeledón and San Carlos both score 0.67 goals per match at home and away respectively, which points to a very evenly matched and generally low-scoring encounter. The hosts concede just 0.67 goals on average at home, while San Carlos allow opponents 1.33 goals away from home; however, their average xG against is only 1.30 compared with Pérez Zeledón’s 1.79. The visitors enjoy more possession, recording 59% compared with the hosts’ 50%, and also register slightly more shots on target: 4.00 versus 3.67 per match. San Carlos have the better record over their last five matches, averaging 1.4 points per game compared with 1.0, but they have lost 67% of their away matches so far. With identical scoring averages and a high 33% rate of scoreless matches for both sides, a draw is the most likely outcome.

The seasonal BTTS rate is just 25% for Pérez Zeledón and 33% for San Carlos, clearly below the league average of 49%. Both teams score very few goals: the hosts average 0.75 goals per match, while the visitors average 0.67, with neither side exceeding 0.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. Pérez Zeledón kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, compared with 33% for San Carlos, further supporting the outcome where at least one team fails to score. Although San Carlos create more chances, posting an xG of 1.38 and 4.0 shots on target per match compared with the hosts’ 1.06 and 2.33, their conversion rate is just 5%. BTTS occurred in 40% of the last 5 matches for both sides, but their continued lack of consistency in front of goal supports the BTTS - No pick.

Pérez Zeledón score just 0.75 goals per game on average this season, while San Carlos average 0.67, clearly limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in just 20% of matches for each side. Additionally, neither team has recorded a match with at least 4 goals so far, while 100% of matches for both sides have ended Under 3.5 goals. San Carlos create more chances, averaging 12.67 shots compared with the hosts’ 7.67, but their conversion rate is only 5%, meaning this activity advantage may not translate into goals. The projected total of 1.90 goals provides by far the strongest statistical support for Under 3.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at the final whistle, as both teams play in matches with a very low average total of 2.0 goals per game. Pérez Zeledón score an average of 0.75 goals, while San Carlos average 0.67, with both teams scoring only 0.8 goals per match across their last five games. First halves particularly favour a cautious pattern: the hosts score an average of 0.33 goals before the break, the visitors have yet to score in the first half, and San Carlos were level at half-time in 67% of their matches. Across Pérez Zeledón’s last five appearances, the score was level after 45 minutes in 60% of games, while both teams failed to score before half-time in 80% of those matches. San Carlos do create more chances, averaging 12.67 shots compared with the hosts’ 7.67 and recording an xG of 1.38, but they convert just 5% of their attempts, further supporting the prediction of a closely contested, low-scoring draw.