Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Pergolettese exhibits better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), yet their home record is poor with a 53% loss rate and only a 33% win rate. Arzignano Valchiampo shares an identical away win rate (33%) but possesses superior shooting efficiency (averaging 1.2 goals vs 0.93). Both teams share similar xG metrics, confirming an evenly matched level of play. Taking into account the visitors' poor form in recent fixtures and the slight home advantage for the hosts, a draw seems to be the most logical conclusion for this duel between two bottom-half teams.
Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pergolettese played Arzignano Valchiampo in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Pergolettese: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Arzignano Valchiampo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pergolettese scores 0.97 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.26 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pergolettese 52%, Arzignano Valchiampo 61%. Over 2.5: Pergolettese 42%, Arzignano Valchiampo 58%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Pergolettese has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.35. Pergolettese: 10.4 shots per match, Arzignano Valchiampo: 10.9.
Match halves
Pergolettese: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.45. Arzignano Valchiampo: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Pergolettese: 31-45+ (8 goals). Arzignano Valchiampo: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Pergolettese exhibits better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), yet their home record is poor with a 53% loss rate and only a 33% win rate. Arzignano Valchiampo shares an identical away win rate (33%) but possesses superior shooting efficiency (averaging 1.2 goals vs 0.93). Both teams share similar xG metrics, confirming an evenly matched level of play. Taking into account the visitors' poor form in recent fixtures and the slight home advantage for the hosts, a draw seems to be the most logical conclusion for this duel between two bottom-half teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pergolettese | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Pergolettese · 0.8 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Pergolettese · 1.26 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Pergolettese is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Pergolettese · 1.45 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Pergolettese scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pergolettese
Over / Under - Arzignano Valchiampo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Pergolettese · 1.65 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pergolettese
Arzignano Valchiampo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pergolettese | Liga | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pergolettese 0 - 0 - 1 Arzignano Valchiampo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pergolettese 0:1 Arzignano Valchiampo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Pergolettese score 0.97 goals per game on average and Arzignano Valchiampo 1.26. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Pergolettese's matches and 61% of Arzignano Valchiampo's.
What form are Pergolettese and Arzignano Valchiampo in?
Over the last 5 games Pergolettese have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.