Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pergolettese played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Voltini. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pergolettese: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pergolettese scores 0.38 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.25 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pergolettese 13%, Athletic Carpi 63%. Over 2.5: Pergolettese 13%, Athletic Carpi 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.25. Pergolettese: 11.0 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 10.6.
Match halves
Pergolettese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Pergolettese: 16-30 (1 goals). Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw looks the most likely outcome, as Pergolettese have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and have shared the points in 67% of their home games. The hosts are yet to score at home and average just 2 shots on target there, although their xG of 1.16 suggests they are creating chances. Athletic Carpi have greater attacking potential away from home, averaging 1 goal and an xG of 1.57, but have not won any of their last 5 matches. Pergolettese have the defensive edge, conceding an average of 0.33 goals at home, while Carpi have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 outings. The hosts' poor finishing and the visitors' better chance creation offset these advantages, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is supported by BTTS landing in 75% of Pergolettese matches and 50% of Athletic Carpi matches, although the sample for the hosts is small. Pergolettese average 1.34 xG, while their opponents concede 1.84 xG; Carpi record 1.57 xG, while the hosts concede 1.93 xG. In addition, Carpi have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, increasing the chances of Pergolettese finding the net. However, caution is warranted: the hosts have recently scored just 0.6 goals per match and conceded 0.4, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pergolettese score an average of 1.5 goals, while Athletic Carpi concede 1.75; in addition, the hosts’ xG is 1.34, compared with the 1.84 xG allowed by the visitors. Carpi, meanwhile, create chances worth 1.57 xG, while Pergolettese concede 1.93 xG, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The 1.5-goal line has been exceeded in 100% of the hosts’ matches considered and 75% of the visitors’ matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Confidence is tempered by Pergolettese’s form over their last 5 matches, which have averaged just 1 goal, although Carpi’s matches during the same period averaged 3.2 goals. The forecast of 2.75 goals points to a clearer edge for Over 1.5 than Over 2.5, particularly against the league average of 2.28 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Pergolettese were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and failed to score before half-time in 4 of them. The hosts’ recent form points towards a home win — they have avoided defeat in all 5 matches and averaged 1.4 points per game, while Athletic Carpi lost 3 times and averaged 0.4 points. The visitors conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game over this period, including 1.2 after the break, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will settle the match in the second half. However, X/1 remains a moderate selection, as Pergolettese drew 4 of their last 5 matches and scored just 0.6 goals per game on average.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pergolettese | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Pergolettese · 0.4 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 229% better for: goals scored per match.
0.38 goals / match - Pergolettese · 1.25 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Pergolettese is 238% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Pergolettese · 2.13 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Pergolettese scores in 25% of matches (2 of 8 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pergolettese
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Carpi is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Pergolettese · 1.63 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pergolettese
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pergolettese | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 2.28 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 13% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 48% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 33% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 38% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pergolettese 2:1 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
Pergolettese score 0.38 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.25. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 13% of Pergolettese's matches and 63% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Pergolettese and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Pergolettese have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
The statistical background for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.