Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match between two teams in poor form. Pergolettese shows better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Pro Vercelli), however, their home record is unsatisfactory with 57% losses and just 29% wins. Pro Vercelli, despite better average possession (52%) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), also records 57% losses away and a negative goal difference (-10). Both teams have identical indicators in away and home matches (29% wins, 14% draws), suggesting a similar sporting level. Given the poor form of both squads, high loss ratios, and close xG values, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the slight form advantage of the hosts in recent weeks gives them minimally better chances for success.
Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pergolettese played Pro Vercelli in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Pergolettese: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Pro Vercelli: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pergolettese scores 0.93 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Pro Vercelli scores 1.07 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pergolettese 48%, Pro Vercelli 41%. Over 2.5: Pergolettese 41%, Pro Vercelli 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Pro Vercelli has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.36. Pergolettese: 10.6 shots per match, Pro Vercelli: 11.5.
Match halves
Pergolettese: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.41. Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Pergolettese: 31-45+ (7 goals). Pro Vercelli: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced match between two teams in poor form. Pergolettese shows better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Pro Vercelli), however, their home record is unsatisfactory with 57% losses and just 29% wins. Pro Vercelli, despite better average possession (52%) and shot efficiency (10% vs 8%), also records 57% losses away and a negative goal difference (-10). Both teams have identical indicators in away and home matches (29% wins, 14% draws), suggesting a similar sporting level. Given the poor form of both squads, high loss ratios, and close xG values, a draw seems the most probable scenario, although the slight form advantage of the hosts in recent weeks gives them minimally better chances for success.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pergolettese | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Pergolettese · 1.2 pts / match - Pro Vercelli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pro Vercelli is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Pergolettese · 1.07 goals / match - Pro Vercelli
Pergolettese scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Pro Vercelli scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pergolettese
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pro Vercelli is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Pergolettese · 1.21 pts / match - Pro Vercelli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pergolettese
Pro Vercelli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pergolettese | Liga | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.28 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 41% | 41% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pergolettese 0 - 0 - 1 Pro Vercelli. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pergolettese 2:1 Pro Vercelli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli?
Pergolettese score 0.93 goals per game on average and Pro Vercelli 1.07. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Pergolettese's matches and 41% of Pro Vercelli's.
What form are Pergolettese and Pro Vercelli in?
Over the last 5 games Pergolettese have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Pro Vercelli 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.