Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan: match statistics
Persela displays significantly superior home form with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1), compared to Persiba Balikpapan, who hold just a 14% away win rate and a negative balance of -6. The hosts average 1.29 goals per home match, whereas the visitors net only 0.71 goals on the road and fail to score in 43% of their games. A crucial factor is defense – Persiba has failed to keep a clean sheet away (0% CS%), conceding an average of 1.57 goals; combined with poor offensive efficiency (11% shot conversion), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Recent form in the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG) compared to a mere 0.4 for the visitors. Persela is expected to capitalize on home advantage and the opponent's defensive frailties to secure all three points.
Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Persela played Persiba Balikpapan in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Persela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Persiba Balikpapan: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Persela scores 1.23 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Persiba Balikpapan scores 1.00 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Persela 54%, Persiba Balikpapan 54%. Over 2.5: Persela 46%, Persiba Balikpapan 62%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Persiba Balikpapan has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.23. Persela: 8.5 shots per match, Persiba Balikpapan: 9.8.
Match halves
Persela: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.92. Persiba Balikpapan: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Persela: 76-90+ (7 goals). Persiba Balikpapan: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Persela displays significantly superior home form with a 43% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1), compared to Persiba Balikpapan, who hold just a 14% away win rate and a negative balance of -6. The hosts average 1.29 goals per home match, whereas the visitors net only 0.71 goals on the road and fail to score in 43% of their games. A crucial factor is defense – Persiba has failed to keep a clean sheet away (0% CS%), conceding an average of 1.57 goals; combined with poor offensive efficiency (11% shot conversion), this makes them highly susceptible to defeat. Recent form in the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG) compared to a mere 0.4 for the visitors. Persela is expected to capitalize on home advantage and the opponent's defensive frailties to secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Persela | Persiba Balikpapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persela is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Persela · 0.4 pts / match - Persiba Balikpapan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persela is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Persela · 1 goals / match - Persiba Balikpapan
Persela is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Persela · 1.69 goals / match - Persiba Balikpapan
Persela scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Persiba Balikpapan keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
Persiba Balikpapan scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Persela keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Persela
Over / Under - Persiba Balikpapan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persela is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Persela · 0.77 pts / match - Persiba Balikpapan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persiba Balikpapan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Persela
Persiba Balikpapan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| Persela | Liga | Persiba Balikpapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.62 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 45% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Persela 1 - 0 - 0 Persiba Balikpapan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The Liga 2 match finished Persela 1:0 Persiba Balikpapan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Persela score 1.23 goals per game on average and Persiba Balikpapan 1.00. The Liga 2 average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Persela's matches and 54% of Persiba Balikpapan's.
What form are Persela and Persiba Balikpapan in?
Over the last 5 games Persela have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Persiba Balikpapan 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The statistical background for Persela vs Persiba Balikpapan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.