Persib vs PSM: match statistics

Persib are showing significantly stronger current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, drawing once, and have averaged 2.6 points per game. During the same period, the hosts scored 6 goals and conceded just 2, confirming an excellent balance between attacking efficiency and a highly solid defence. PSM have lost as many as 4 of their last 5 matches and collected only 0.6 points per game. Across those five fixtures, the visitors scored just 3 goals while conceding 10, resulting in averages of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match. Given the clear difference in trends and Persib’s superior organisation, a home win is the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from PSM’s limited attacking efficiency: they have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game. Over the same period, Persib conceded only 2 goals, an average of 0.4, and won 4 of their last 5 matches, making it notably difficult for the visitors to score. Both teams recorded BTTS in only 40% of their last five appearances, meaning that at least one side more often failed to find the net. Persib should have good conditions to score, as they average 1.2 goals, while PSM concede as many as 2.0 goals per match. Although PSM’s xG stands at 1.19, their significantly weaker actual goal output and the hosts’ solid defence support a scenario in which the visitors fail to score. BTTS - No means that at least one team will not score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Persib have scored 6 goals and conceded just 2 in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 and 0.4 goals per game, respectively. PSM are in poor defensive form after conceding 10 goals in 5 appearances, which boosts the forecast for the hosts, but they have scored just 3 goals during this period. The xG figures point to moderate attacking potential: Persib created chances worth 1.52 xG, while PSM recorded 1.19 xG, with the hosts allowing 1.17 xG. Although 60% of PSM’s recent matches featured Over 2.5 goals, the corresponding figure for Persib is only 20%, giving the scenario of no more than three goals a clear edge. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.30 goals provides a comfortable margin below this line.

Persib are in significantly better form: across their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored, conceded just 0.4, and won 80% of their games, while PSM have lost 80% of their matches and conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game. The strongest Half-Time signal comes from the home side’s defence, which kept a clean sheet in the first half in 80% of their recent matches, while PSM have not led at the break on any occasion and went into half-time trailing in 80% of cases. Persib were level at half-time in 80% of their matches, making the draw/ home win scenario a serious alternative in the HT/FT market. After the break, the hosts concede just 0.2 goals on average, whereas the visitors concede 1.0 goal in second halves, which favours Persib maintaining or building their lead. The most likely scenario, however, remains Persib leading at the break and winning at full-time, as PSM average just 0.2 goals scored before half-time and 0.4 after the interval.