Persikad vs PSMS: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a highly competitive matchup between the two sides. Persikad has shown superior form in their last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8); however, their home record remains problematic, with a win rate of just 33% and a loss rate of 50% on home soil. PSMS stands out for their offensive efficiency on the road (1.5 goals per match, 5.5 shots on target), yet they have never kept a clean sheet in away fixtures and hold only a 17% win rate on away grounds. A key factor is that both teams possess an identical goal difference (0) in their respective home and away splits. Considering the high probability of both teams scoring (FTS% stands at 50% for the hosts and 17% for the visitors) and similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the home side, driven by their advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and superior current form.
Persikad vs PSMS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Persikad played PSMS in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Persikad: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. PSMS: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Persikad scores 1.46 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. PSMS scores 1.31 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Persikad 54%, PSMS 62%. Over 2.5: Persikad 62%, PSMS 31%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
PSMS has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Persikad: 8.5 shots per match, PSMS: 7.8.
Match halves
Persikad: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77. PSMS: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Persikad: 31-45+ (5 goals). PSMS: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a highly competitive matchup between the two sides. Persikad has shown superior form in their last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8); however, their home record remains problematic, with a win rate of just 33% and a loss rate of 50% on home soil. PSMS stands out for their offensive efficiency on the road (1.5 goals per match, 5.5 shots on target), yet they have never kept a clean sheet in away fixtures and hold only a 17% win rate on away grounds. A key factor is that both teams possess an identical goal difference (0) in their respective home and away splits. Considering the high probability of both teams scoring (FTS% stands at 50% for the hosts and 17% for the visitors) and similar xG values, the most likely scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the home side, driven by their advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and superior current form.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Persikad | PSMS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persikad is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Persikad · 1 pts / match - PSMS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persikad is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Persikad · 1.31 goals / match - PSMS
PSMS is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Persikad · 1.15 goals / match - PSMS
Persikad scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while PSMS keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
PSMS scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Persikad keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Persikad
Over / Under - PSMS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSMS is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Persikad · 1.54 pts / match - PSMS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persikad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSMS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Persikad
PSMS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| Persikad | Liga | PSMS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 45% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Persikad 0 - 1 - 0 PSMS. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Persikad vs PSMS?
The Liga 2 match finished Persikad 1:0 PSMS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Persikad vs PSMS?
Persikad score 1.46 goals per game on average and PSMS 1.31. The Liga 2 average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Persikad's matches and 62% of PSMS's.
What form are Persikad and PSMS in?
Over the last 5 games Persikad have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and PSMS 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persikad vs PSMS?
The statistical background for Persikad vs PSMS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.