Persita vs Garudayaksa FC: match statistics

Persita have a clear edge in creating chances at home, averaging 2.43 xG and 7 shots on target, while Garudayaksa FC average 0.87 xG and just 1 shot on target away from home. The hosts score an average of 3 goals from 20 shots at home, whereas the visitors score 1 goal from 5.5 shots away, which points to Persita. However, Persita’s defence remains vulnerable to errors: they concede an average of 2 goals at home and have let in 9 goals across their last five matches. Both teams have identical records over their last five games—1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat—and the visitors’ last two away matches ended in draws. Persita are therefore the most likely winners, though a draw remains a realistic possibility.

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 100% of Persita’s games and 80% of Garudayaksa’s, a strong signal in favour of BTTS - Yes. Over this period, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Persita created chances worth 1.37 xG per match, and Garudayaksa 1.11 xG, giving both sides a basis for finding the net. Persita’s home statistics call for caution: an average of 0 goals scored and 0% of matches with both teams scoring, although the team also recorded 5 shots on target per match. However, the stronger numerical signals from the last 5 outings, together with the league BTTS rate of 64%, point towards a scenario in which both teams score.

In their last 5 matches, Persita averaged 3.4 total goals, while Garudayaksa’s matches averaged 2.8, supporting the expectation of at least two goals. Over this period, the home side scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.8, while the visitors averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. The teams’ average xG from these matches stands at 1.37 and 1.11, making an expectation of around 2.7 goals in their head-to-head meeting reasonable. Although Persita’s available home matches and Garudayaksa’s away matches each produced exactly 2 goals, this primarily points to an advantage for the Over 1.5 goals line rather than providing an equally strong signal for higher goal lines.

In their last five matches, both teams recorded three draws and averaged 1.2 points per game, pointing to a closely contested encounter. In the available home matches, Persita failed to score before half-time, while Garudayaksa did not find the net in the first half of either of its two away games, making a draw at the break a realistic scenario. The hosts do have a higher average xG, 1.24 compared with the visitors’ 0.87, but they have scored only marginally more goals across their last five matches: 1.6 versus 1.4. This slight attacking edge is not enough to outweigh the teams’ identical points totals and frequent draws, so a draw at both half-time and full-time is the most likely outcome (X/X).