Perugia vs Bra: match statistics
Perugia appears to be the favorite in this encounter, primarily due to solid home results. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and maintain a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium, whereas Bra is yet to win an away match this season. The visiting side concedes an average of 2 goals per away game and holds a disastrous -10 goal difference on the road. Perugia demonstrates superior xG statistics (1.56 vs 0.96), more shots on target (4 vs 2.25), and higher offensive efficiency. Although recent form is similar for both teams (1.2 PPG), Bra has failed to earn a single point in their last five away matches, which strongly favors the hosts. However, a draw remains a viable possibility given Perugia's high draw percentage at home (22%) and Bra's tendency to share points on the road (25% away draws).
Perugia vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Perugia play Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 11 January 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Perugia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Bra: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Perugia scores 1.06 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Perugia 58%, Bra 69%. Over 2.5: Perugia 42%, Bra 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Perugia has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.01. Perugia: 13.3 shots per match, Bra: 8.3.
Match halves
Perugia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Bra: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Perugia: 61-75 (8 goals). Bra: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Perugia appears to be the favorite in this encounter, primarily due to solid home results. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and maintain a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium, whereas Bra is yet to win an away match this season. The visiting side concedes an average of 2 goals per away game and holds a disastrous -10 goal difference on the road. Perugia demonstrates superior xG statistics (1.56 vs 0.96), more shots on target (4 vs 2.25), and higher offensive efficiency. Although recent form is similar for both teams (1.2 PPG), Bra has failed to earn a single point in their last five away matches, which strongly favors the hosts. However, a draw remains a viable possibility given Perugia's high draw percentage at home (22%) and Bra's tendency to share points on the road (25% away draws).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Perugia | Bra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Perugia is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Perugia · 1.5 goals / match - Bra
Perugia scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Bra scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Perugia
Over / Under — Bra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bra is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Perugia · 1.17 pts / match - Bra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Perugia
Bra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Perugia | Liga | Bra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.28 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Perugia 0 - 1 - 0 Bra. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Perugia vs Bra?
The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 1:1 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Bra?
Perugia score 1.06 goals per game on average and Bra 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Perugia's matches and 69% of Bra's.
What form are Perugia and Bra in?
Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bra 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Bra?
The statistical background for Perugia vs Bra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.