Perugia vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Perugia played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Perugia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forlì: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Perugia scores 0.82 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.41 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Perugia 47%, Forlì 59%. Over 2.5: Perugia 41%, Forlì 47%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Forlì has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.41. Perugia: 11.6 shots per match, Forlì: 11.1.

Match halves

Perugia: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.53. Forlì: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Perugia: 46-60 (3 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
PerugiaForlì
14Shots10
PerugiaForlì
8Shots on target3
PerugiaForlì
1.81xG1.47
PerugiaForlì
3Corners3
PerugiaForlì
51Dangerous attacks86
PerugiaForlì
19Fouls11
PerugiaForlì
1Cards2
PerugiaForlì

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.82Goals scored / match1.41
PerugiaForlì
1.41Goals conceded / match1.35
PerugiaForlì
53%Average possession54%
PerugiaForlì
3.47Shots on target / match4.18
PerugiaForlì

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.59Shots per match11.12
PerugiaForlì
3.47Shots on target4.18
PerugiaForlì
7.1%Shot conversion12.7%
PerugiaForlì
53%Possession54%
PerugiaForlì
1.41xG for1.49
PerugiaForlì
1.22xG against1.45
PerugiaForlì

Shooting quality

Perugia: BalancedForlì: Balanced
PerugiaForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)30%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Perugia
DWLLL
Season result split
12% W35% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-9
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Forlì
LLDLW
Season result split
41% W18% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-7
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Perugia · 1.41 goals / match - Forlì

Perugia scoring profile: strong

Perugia scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

14Goals scored (season)24
PerugiaForlì
24Goals conceded (season)23
PerugiaForlì
2.24Average goals in match2.76
PerugiaForlì
4Goals scored (last 5)9
PerugiaForlì
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
PerugiaForlì

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal76%
PerugiaForlì
29%2 goals41%
PerugiaForlì
0%3 goals18%
PerugiaForlì
0%4 goals6%
PerugiaForlì

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
PerugiaForlì
47%2 goals35%
PerugiaForlì
12%3 goals18%
PerugiaForlì
0%4 goals0%
PerugiaForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time6%
PerugiaForlì
6%BTTS in both halves6%
PerugiaForlì
6%Scored in both halves18%
PerugiaForlì

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
PerugiaForlì
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
PerugiaForlì
60%BTTS - last 580%
PerugiaForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time41%
PerugiaForlì
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
PerugiaForlì
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
PerugiaForlì

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PerugiaForlì
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
PerugiaForlì
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time41%
PerugiaForlì

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forlì is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.76 pts / match - Perugia · 1.29 pts / match - Forlì

Perugia - half-time state
6% leading59% draw35% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
24% leading59% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.76Points per match (1st half)1.29
PerugiaForlì
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.41
PerugiaForlì
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
PerugiaForlì
1Average goals (1st half)0.76
PerugiaForlì
41%Clean sheet before half-time76%
PerugiaForlì
76%No goal before half-time76%
PerugiaForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1.53
PerugiaForlì
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1
PerugiaForlì
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)1
PerugiaForlì
1.24Average goals (2nd half)2
PerugiaForlì
47%Clean sheet after half-time24%
PerugiaForlì
65%No goal after half-time29%
PerugiaForlì

Perugia - second-half results

24% W35% D41% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - second-half results

47% W12% D41% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Perugia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Perugia
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
8
46-60
6
4
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Perugia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PerugiaLigaForlì
Average goals in match 2.242.22 2.76
Both teams scored 47%47% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%35% 47%
Clean sheets 18%31% 18%
Goal before half-time 59%58% 41%
Goal after half-time 71%72% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.22
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Christian ScorzaOff: Nicola Farinelli
  2. PerugiaGoalGiacomo Manzari
  3. PerugiaGoalGiacomo Manzari
  4. ForlìYellow cardGiulio Manenti
  5. ForlìSubstitutionOn: Andrea FranzoliniOff: Valentino Coveri
  6. PerugiaYellow cardLinas Mėgelaitis
  7. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Claudio GiardinoOff: Linas Mėgelaitis
  8. ForlìYellow cardLorenzo Saporetti

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Perugia vs Forlì?

The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 4:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Forlì?

Perugia score 0.82 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.41. The Serie C Group B average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Perugia's matches and 59% of Forlì's.

What form are Perugia and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forlì 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Forlì?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.