Perugia vs Pineto: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Perugia presents poor home form with just 23% wins and a negative run in the last five matches (1-2-2). Pineto is also in crisis, losing four of their last five games and earning barely 0.6 points per match. The host holds the advantage in possession (51%) and possesses a higher xG (1.73 vs 1.22); however, a high percentage of matches without scoring (38% FTS) weakens their offense. Pineto is characterized by better shot conversion (12% vs 7%), but their inferior away form (31% wins) and four recent consecutive losses significantly reduce their chances for full points. The goal difference of both teams (Perugia +1 at home, Pineto 0 away) and similar average goals per match (1.92 vs 2.31) further support the scenario of a points split.
Perugia vs Pineto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Perugia played Pineto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Perugia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pineto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Perugia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Pineto scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Perugia 54%, Pineto 50%. Over 2.5: Perugia 42%, Pineto 42%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Perugia has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.28. Perugia: 12.8 shots per match, Pineto: 10.4.
Match halves
Perugia: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.54. Pineto: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Perugia: 16-30 (6 goals). Pineto: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Perugia presents poor home form with just 23% wins and a negative run in the last five matches (1-2-2). Pineto is also in crisis, losing four of their last five games and earning barely 0.6 points per match. The host holds the advantage in possession (51%) and possesses a higher xG (1.73 vs 1.22); however, a high percentage of matches without scoring (38% FTS) weakens their offense. Pineto is characterized by better shot conversion (12% vs 7%), but their inferior away form (31% wins) and four recent consecutive losses significantly reduce their chances for full points. The goal difference of both teams (Perugia +1 at home, Pineto 0 away) and similar average goals per match (1.92 vs 2.31) further support the scenario of a points split.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Perugia | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Perugia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Perugia · 0.6 pts / match - Pineto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pineto is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Perugia · 1.27 goals / match - Pineto
Perugia scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Pineto scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Perugia
Over / Under - Pineto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pineto is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Perugia · 1.54 pts / match - Pineto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pineto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Perugia
Pineto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Perugia | Liga | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.27 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Perugia 0 - 0 - 1 Pineto. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Perugia vs Pineto?
The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 0:1 Pineto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Pineto?
Perugia score 1.00 goals per game on average and Pineto 1.27. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Perugia's matches and 50% of Pineto's.
What form are Perugia and Pineto in?
Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pineto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Pineto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.