Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Renato CuriData current as of 15 October 2026

Perugia vs Vado: match statistics

Perugia crest
Perugia
0 : 2half-time 0:0
Vado crest
Vado

Perugia vs Vado: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Perugia played Vado in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Renato Curi. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Perugia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vado: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Perugia scores 1.13 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Vado scores 0.75 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Perugia 38%, Vado 25%. Over 2.5: Perugia 63%, Vado 25%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Perugia has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.18. Perugia: 12.4 shots per match, Vado: 9.1.

Match halves

Perugia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Vado: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Perugia: 76-90+ (3 goals). Vado: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Perugia are favourites thanks to a record of 3 wins in 4 home matches, while Vado have failed to win any of their 4 away games. The hosts average 4 shots on target per match at home, compared with Vado’s 2.25 away, and their average xG is 1.38 versus 1.21 for Vado. The visitors’ defence allows chances worth 1.89 xG on the road and concedes an average of 1.5 goals, boosting Perugia’s chances of scoring. The last five matches do not, however, leave the hosts entirely comfortable: they scored 4 goals and conceded 9, despite winning their two most recent games. Vado have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, so despite Perugia’s inconsistent form, a home win remains the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest indication that at least one team will fail to score is the low attacking output: Perugia and Vado average just 0.75 goals each, and both have failed to find the net in 50% of their matches. Over their last 5 games, BTTS has landed in only 20% of matches for each side, with average goals scored of 0.8 and 0.6, respectively. Perugia has kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches and concedes an average of just 0.5 goals at home, which significantly limits Vado’s chances of scoring. The main risk to the BTTS - No pick is the visitors’ defence, which allows an average of 1.89 xG away from home; however, Perugia’s attacking efficiency remains low, with an average of 3 shots on target and 0.75 goals at home. Despite the league-wide BTTS rate of 56%, the teams’ goal records and recent results point towards at least one side failing to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: all of Perugia’s home matches so far have finished below this line, as have 50% of Vado’s away matches. Both teams average 0.75 goals in these conditions, while their returns over the last five matches stand at 0.8 and 0.6 goals per game, respectively. Perugia average 3.0 shots on target and Vado 2.25, which also points away from a high-scoring game. Some caution is warranted given the visitors’ defence, which allows an average of 1.89 xG; however, the projected total of 2.30 goals remains well below the four-goal mark.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Perugia won 2 of the 4 matches considered, while Vado failed to win any of its 4 and conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match, compared with 0.5 for the hosts. Perugia to lead at the break is supported by its 2 half-time leads in 4 matches and the fact that Vado conceded an average of 1.0 goal in the first half. Perugia are likely to hold on to that advantage, as all 4 of their second halves ended level, as did 3 of Vado’s 4 second halves. Caution is still warranted: over their last 5 matches, Perugia conceded an average of 1.8 goals and Vado 1.0. Therefore, 1/1 remains the strongest HT/FT signal, but it is not the dominant scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
PerugiaVado
20Shots17
PerugiaVado
7Shots on target7
PerugiaVado
2.27xG2
PerugiaVado
8Corners6
PerugiaVado
73Dangerous attacks62
PerugiaVado
6Fouls12
PerugiaVado
4Cards0
PerugiaVado

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.13Goals scored / match0.75
PerugiaVado
1.5Goals conceded / match1
PerugiaVado
46%Average possession53%
PerugiaVado
4.25Shots on target / match2.63
PerugiaVado

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.38Shots per match9.13
PerugiaVado
4.25Shots on target2.63
PerugiaVado
9.1%Shot conversion8.2%
PerugiaVado
46%Possession53%
PerugiaVado
1.44xG for1.18
PerugiaVado
1.29xG against1.64
PerugiaVado

Shooting quality

Perugia: BalancedVado: Balanced
PerugiaVado
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Perugia is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Perugia · 0.8 pts / match - Vado

Perugia
LLLWW
Season result split
50% W13% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-3
1.63 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Vado
LLLDW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Perugia is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Perugia · 0.75 goals / match - Vado

Vado is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Perugia · 1 goals / match - Vado

Perugia scoring profile: mixed

Perugia scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Vado keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

Vado scoring profile: strong

Vado scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

9Goals scored (season)6
PerugiaVado
12Goals conceded (season)8
PerugiaVado
2.63Average goals in match1.75
PerugiaVado
4Goals scored (last 5)3
PerugiaVado
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
PerugiaVado

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal50%
PerugiaVado
38%2 goals25%
PerugiaVado
13%3 goals0%
PerugiaVado
0%4 goals0%
PerugiaVado

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
PerugiaVado
50%2 goals25%
PerugiaVado
25%3 goals25%
PerugiaVado
0%4 goals0%
PerugiaVado

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
PerugiaVado
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PerugiaVado
38%Scored in both halves0%
PerugiaVado

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PerugiaVado
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PerugiaVado
20%BTTS - last 520%
PerugiaVado

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
PerugiaVado
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
PerugiaVado
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PerugiaVado

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time13%
PerugiaVado
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
PerugiaVado
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PerugiaVado

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vado is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Perugia · 1.38 pts / match - Vado

Perugia - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Vado - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.38
PerugiaVado
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.75
PerugiaVado
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
PerugiaVado
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.5
PerugiaVado
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
PerugiaVado
50%No goal before half-time50%
PerugiaVado

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)0.88
PerugiaVado
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0
PerugiaVado
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
PerugiaVado
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.25
PerugiaVado
50%Clean sheet after half-time88%
PerugiaVado
50%No goal after half-time100%
PerugiaVado

Perugia - second-half results

38% W13% D50% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vado - second-half results

0% W88% D13% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Perugia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Vado - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.20.4
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Perugia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Vado
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.19
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Perugia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Vado

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

PerugiaLigaVado
Average goals in match▲ 2.632.52▼ 1.75
Both teams scored▼ 38%57%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%46%▼ 25%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%71%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%73%▼ 13%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PerugiaYellow cardDavide Riccardi
  2. PerugiaYellow cardRiccardo Ladinetti
  3. PerugiaSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe Mattia CarrieroOff: Riccardo Ladinetti
  4. VadoSubstitutionOn: Mirko LazzariniOff: Denis Hergheligiu
  5. VadoSubstitutionOn: Christian CarliniOff: Mirko Saltarelli
  6. VadoSubstitutionOn: Lorenzo LischettiOff: Iacopo Cernigoi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Perugia vs Vado?

The Serie C Group B match finished Perugia 0:2 Vado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Perugia vs Vado?

Perugia score 1.13 goals per game on average and Vado 0.75. The Serie C Group B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Perugia's matches and 25% of Vado's.

What form are Perugia and Vado in?

Over the last 5 games Perugia have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vado 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Perugia vs Vado?

The statistical background for Perugia vs Vado — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.