Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Peterborough United presents solid home form with 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match. Despite a higher table position (5th place), Bolton Wanderers struggles on the road – with just 18% away wins and a negative goal difference (-6). Form over the last five matches also favors the hosts: Peterborough earned 2 points per match (3W-1D-1L), while Bolton has only 1 point per match (1W-2D-2L). A key factor is also the hosts' xG advantage (1.53 vs 1.17 xGA) in home matches, suggesting efficiency in creating chances. While Bolton maintains high possession (61%), their low scoring efficiency away (0.82 goals/match) and just 9% clean sheets indicate defensive weaknesses. Considering all statistics, Peterborough United has a real chance of victory in front of their home crowd, although Bolton may put up stiff resistance, making a draw a plausible scenario as well.
Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peterborough United played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Peterborough United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peterborough United scores 1.25 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.29 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peterborough United 46%, Bolton Wanderers 54%. Over 2.5: Peterborough United 54%, Bolton Wanderers 38%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.37. Peterborough United: 12.9 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 17.2.
Match halves
Peterborough United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Peterborough United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peterborough United presents solid home form with 42% wins and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match. Despite a higher table position (5th place), Bolton Wanderers struggles on the road – with just 18% away wins and a negative goal difference (-6). Form over the last five matches also favors the hosts: Peterborough earned 2 points per match (3W-1D-1L), while Bolton has only 1 point per match (1W-2D-2L). A key factor is also the hosts' xG advantage (1.53 vs 1.17 xGA) in home matches, suggesting efficiency in creating chances. While Bolton maintains high possession (61%), their low scoring efficiency away (0.82 goals/match) and just 9% clean sheets indicate defensive weaknesses. Considering all statistics, Peterborough United has a real chance of victory in front of their home crowd, although Bolton may put up stiff resistance, making a draw a plausible scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peterborough United | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peterborough United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Peterborough United · 1 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Peterborough United · 0.92 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Peterborough United scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Peterborough United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peterborough United
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Peterborough United · 1.33 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peterborough United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peterborough United
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Peterborough United | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Peterborough United 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Peterborough United 3:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers?
Peterborough United score 1.25 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.29. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Peterborough United's matches and 54% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Peterborough United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.