Peterborough United vs Exeter City: match statistics
Peterborough United holds a clear advantage in home matches, with a 44% win rate, averaging 1.69 goals per game and a goal difference of +8. The hosts boast significantly better offensive efficiency (4.38 shots on target per game) and ball possession dominance (58%) compared to the visitors. Exeter City performs poorly in away matches – only a 25% win rate, 44% of games without a goal scored, and an average of just 0.81 goals per game. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Peterborough averages 1.2 points per game in their last five matches, while Exeter averages only 0.8 points with four draws. Considering all statistics, especially Peterborough's home advantage and Exeter's offensive struggles on the road, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the visitors' solid defense (25% clean sheets) could make the task difficult.
Peterborough United vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peterborough United played Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Peterborough United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Exeter City: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peterborough United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.10 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peterborough United 48%, Exeter City 35%. Over 2.5: Peterborough United 55%, Exeter City 39%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Peterborough United has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.24. Peterborough United: 11.9 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.7.
Match halves
Peterborough United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.79. Exeter City: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Peterborough United: 31-45+ (11 goals). Exeter City: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peterborough United holds a clear advantage in home matches, with a 44% win rate, averaging 1.69 goals per game and a goal difference of +8. The hosts boast significantly better offensive efficiency (4.38 shots on target per game) and ball possession dominance (58%) compared to the visitors. Exeter City performs poorly in away matches – only a 25% win rate, 44% of games without a goal scored, and an average of just 0.81 goals per game. The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Peterborough averages 1.2 points per game in their last five matches, while Exeter averages only 0.8 points with four draws. Considering all statistics, especially Peterborough's home advantage and Exeter's offensive struggles on the road, the most likely scenario is a home win, although the visitors' solid defense (25% clean sheets) could make the task difficult.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peterborough United | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peterborough United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Peterborough United · 0.8 pts / match - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peterborough United is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Peterborough United · 1.1 goals / match - Exeter City
Exeter City is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Peterborough United · 1 goals / match - Exeter City
Peterborough United scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Exeter City scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Peterborough United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peterborough United
Over / Under - Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peterborough United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Peterborough United · 1.16 pts / match - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peterborough United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peterborough United
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Peterborough United | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Peterborough United 0 - 0 - 1 Exeter City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peterborough United vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Peterborough United 3:3 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Peterborough United vs Exeter City?
Peterborough United score 1.39 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.10. The EFL League One average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Peterborough United's matches and 35% of Exeter City's.
What form are Peterborough United and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Peterborough United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Exeter City 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peterborough United vs Exeter City?
The statistical background for Peterborough United vs Exeter City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.