Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
Peterhead demonstrate an advantage in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 1.9 goals per match. The hosts boast a superior xG (1.36 vs 1.32) and higher average possession (51% vs 46%), suggesting greater control over the game. Hamilton Academical are going through a slump, averaging just 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and suffering a 40% loss rate on the road. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (17%) and similar goal records, indicating a closely contested affair. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' poor form, a slight edge for Peterhead seems the most likely scenario, although a draw remains a distinct possibility.
Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Peterhead played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Peterhead: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Peterhead scores 1.37 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.68 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Peterhead 58%, Hamilton Academical 42%. Over 2.5: Peterhead 79%, Hamilton Academical 63%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.15. Peterhead: 9.1 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 10.1.
Match halves
Peterhead: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Peterhead: 16-30 (6 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peterhead demonstrate an advantage in home matches with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 1.9 goals per match. The hosts boast a superior xG (1.36 vs 1.32) and higher average possession (51% vs 46%), suggesting greater control over the game. Hamilton Academical are going through a slump, averaging just 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and suffering a 40% loss rate on the road. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (17%) and similar goal records, indicating a closely contested affair. Given the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' poor form, a slight edge for Peterhead seems the most likely scenario, although a draw remains a distinct possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Peterhead | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Peterhead · 1.4 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Peterhead · 1.68 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.95 goals / match - Peterhead · 1.16 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Peterhead scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Peterhead keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Peterhead
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Peterhead · 1.74 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Peterhead - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Peterhead
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Peterhead | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 41% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 33% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Peterhead 0 - 1 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished Peterhead 2:3 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterhead and Hamilton Academical?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 0, Hamilton Academical won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
Peterhead score 1.37 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.68. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Peterhead's matches and 42% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are Peterhead and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games Peterhead have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?
The statistical background for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.